Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 18

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday


	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth		MS Tira

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.65	4.45
	1.84	3.4	3.72
	1.67	3.77	4.37	Watch
	1.86	3.51	3.87
	1.84	3.4	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.98)	3.55 ↑ (3.23)	4.01 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
51.6%

Draw
25.7%

MS Tira
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

27.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

26%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maccabi Ahi Nazareth's performance.

MS Tira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MS Tira than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - MS Tira Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Maccabi Nazareth (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Tira (3.35) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Tira (2.00) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Maccabi Nazareth (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tira (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 0 - 1, Baloum K. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North).

Maccabi Nazareth is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tira is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Maccabi Nazareth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Maccabi Nazareth might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Nazareth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.8:3).

Including home match between the teams, Maccabi Nazareth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	MS Tira	6	4	2	0	12:5	7	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Israeli Liga Alef North
23.01.26	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	3:2 ✺
10.01.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Hapoel Beit Shean - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:0 ✺
02.01.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Karmiel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWTW
- MS Tira
Israeli Liga Alef North
24.01.26	MS Tira - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - MS Tira	1:6 ✺
16.01.26	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad - MS Tira	0:3 ✺
06.01.26	MS Tira - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	0:1 ✺
31.12.25	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - MS Tira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
18.09.25	MS Tira - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:0
24.12.24	MS Tira - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	3:0
21.03.24	MS Tira - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	2:1
30.12.23	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - MS Tira	2:6

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