Match Info

Leumit League - Round 13

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Location: HaMoshava Stadium (Petah Tikva)


	Maccabi Petah Tikva		Hapoel Kiryat Yam

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.6	3.7	4.55
	1.55	4.07	5.89
	2.07	3.47	3.27	Watch
	1.61	3.75	5.48	Watch
	1.55	3.66	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.07)	3.73 ↑ (3.47)	4.9 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Petah Tikva
55.8%

Draw
25.1%

Hapoel Kiryat Yam
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

26.8%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

27%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Petah Tikva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maccabi Petah Tikva's performance.

Hapoel Kiryat Yam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Kiryat Yam might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Petah Tikva than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maccabi Petah Tikva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Kiryat Yam than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Kiryat Yam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Kiryat Yam Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Maccabi Petah Tikva will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Hapoel Kiryat Yam will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Maccabi Petah Tikva (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Yehoshua N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, Azaria D. ⚽,
65', 1 - 2, Bella C. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 2, Dahan G. ⚽,
90+12', 3 - 2, Deznet G. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: )).

Maccabi Petah Tikva has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hapoel Kiryat Yam is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Maccabi Petah Tikva is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Petah Tikva
Israeli Liga Leumit
07.11.25	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Maccabi Petah Tikva	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Ra`anana	1:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
29.10.25	Dimona - Maccabi Petah Tikva	1:0 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
24.10.25	Hapoel Afula - Maccabi Petah Tikva	2:3 ✺
20.10.25	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Bnei Yehuda	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWW
- Hapoel Kiryat Yam
Israeli Liga Leumit
10.11.25	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Jaffa	0:6 ✺
31.10.25	Hapoel Acre - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	0:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
28.10.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	2:1 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
24.10.25	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Hadera	2:3 ✺
20.10.25	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL

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