Match Info
Liga Alef North - Round 17Date: 23 January 2026, Friday
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Hapoel Umm al-Fahm |
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Ironi Nesher |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.02 |
3.3 |
3.15 |
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2.06 |
3.41 |
3.19 |
Watch |
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2.1 |
3.33 |
3.28 |
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2.1 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.07 ↓ (2.48) |
3.31 ↑ (3.1) |
3.18 ↑ (2.68) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 43.9% | Draw 27.5% | Ironi Nesher 28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Umm al-Fahm's performance.Ironi Nesher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ironi Nesher might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Umm al-Fahm that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ironi Nesher than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ironi Nesher could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Hapoel Umm al Fahm - Ironi Nesher Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Raya B. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 54', 0 - 1, Razon S. ⚽,
- 61', 1 - 1, Gabarin N. A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 84', 1 - 2, Bilton I. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).Recent form of Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Ironi Nesher is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Recently, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has had a series of away games. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Ironi Nesher | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 10 |
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| 8 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;