Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 8

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Harras El Hodood Stadium (Alexandria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	Haras El-Hodood		Tala`ea El-Gaish

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	2.87	2
	3.5	2.82	2.2	Watch
	3.95	3.01	2.22
	3.73	2.86	2.21	Watch
	3.5	2.8	2.2
	3.65	2.81	2.13	Watch
	4.6	3.05	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↓ (4.6)	2.89 ↓ (3.05)	2.11 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haras El-Hodood
24.3%

Draw
31.9%

Tala`ea El-Gaish
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

29.9%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

28.8%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haras El-Hodood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Tala`ea El-Gaish has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tala`ea El-Gaish might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haras El-Hodood than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Haras El-Hodood that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tala`ea El-Gaish than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tala`ea El-Gaish could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Haras El Hodood - Tala`ea El Gaish Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. El-Gaish will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. El-Gaish (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. El Zanfaly M. (G) 24. Awad M. 5. Abdelhakim I. 4. Abou-Salima I. 12. Bayoumi M. 27. Cooper I. 17. El Deghemy M. 14. Ashraf M. (C) 22. Saviola O. 74. Mahmoud Sayed Okaa 99. Hamdi M.	1. Radwan O. (G) 5. Souissi H. 27. Alaa A. 4. Camacho M. 3. Tarek A. 10. Hany M. 8. Zola A. (C) 14. Hamdi A. 23. Keita A. 12. Mohareb I. 28. Ouro-Agoro I.
Substitutes
10. El Henawy F. 29. El Negely M. 20. Eze E. 30. Hafez A. 6. Magli M. 90. Nayel A. 13. Shaaban A. (G) 72. Tarek Z.	17. Al Madadha G. 19. El Gabry H. 18. El Sayed E. (G) 9. Hatem F. 32. Mostafa Y. 7. Omran R. 6. Sotohi K. 25. Tarek A. 11. Tarek K.
Coaches
Shaaban H.	Mashhour G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Tarek A. 🟨,
28', El Deghemy M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', El Deghemy M. ↓, Magli M. ↑,
67', Mohareb I. ↓, Tarek A. ↑,
67', Souissi H. ↓, Mostafa Y. ↑,
77', Hany M. ↓, Tarek K. ↑,
81', Camacho M. 🟨,
83', Ashraf M. ↓, El Negely M. ↑,
84', Saviola O. ↓, Tarek Z. ↑,
88', Ouro-Agoro I. ↓, Omran R. ↑,
89', Keita A. ↓, El Gabry H. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 A and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haras El-Hodood won 1.

Haras El-Hodood is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, El-Gaish has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

El-Gaish may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

El-Gaish could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Haras El-Hodood won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Haras El-Hodood won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	El Gaish	5	2	1	2	5:5	0	7

Last Results with these Odds

Haras El-Hodood - the odds 4.6 are the expected chance of winning is 19.8%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haras El-Hodood
Egyptian Premier League
29.04.26	El Gouna - Haras El-Hodood	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Haras El-Hodood - Wadi Degla	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Haras El-Hodood - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	2:2 ✺
13.04.26	Pharco - Haras El-Hodood	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Haras El-Hodood - Modern Sport	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TLTLT
- Tala`ea El-Gaish
Egyptian Premier League
29.04.26	Modern Sport - Tala`ea El-Gaish	0:0 ✺
24.04.26	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Kahrabaa Ismailia	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - Tala`ea El-Gaish	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Petrojet	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Tala`ea El-Gaish - National Bank of Egypt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
28.02.26	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Haras El-Hodood	1:0
29.12.24	Haras El-Hodood - Tala`ea El-Gaish	3:0
04.05.23	Haras El-Hodood - Tala`ea El-Gaish	2:3
28.12.22	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Haras El-Hodood	2:2
25.09.20	Haras El-Hodood - Tala`ea El-Gaish	0:0
08.01.20	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Haras El-Hodood	0:3
01.04.19	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Haras El-Hodood	3:0

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