Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 13

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Bury Town		Stourbridge

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.50	3.00
	2.02	3.35	3.00
	2.00	3.69	3.10
	2.09	3.66	3.13	Watch
	1.98	3.65	3.05
	2.01	3.42	3.13
	2.06	3.50	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.05)	3.54 ↓ (3.6)	3.07 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bury Town
44.8%

Draw
25.6%

Stourbridge
29.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.6%

25.4%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

25.3%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Stourbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Bury Town aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Bury Town - Stourbridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, McGrath J. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Verma J. 🟥,
90+2', 2 - 0, Page C. ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Southern League Premier Central Playoffs - Semi - finals and 10th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Bury Town may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Bury Town holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Bury Town has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:3 (averaging 0.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bury Town against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bury Town	14	10	1	3	24:20	4	31
11	Stourbridge	13	5	4	4	15:16	-1	19

Last Results with these Odds

Stourbridge - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.98%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bury Town
English Southern League Central Division
13.10.26	Bury Town - Needham Market	0:5 ✺
10.10.26	Alvechurch - Bury Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.10.26	Spalding United - Bury Town	4:0 ✺
03.10.26	Bury Town - Spalding United	1:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
29.09.26	Bishops Stortford - Bury Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLTW
- Stourbridge FC
English Southern League Central Division
13.10.26	Worcester City - Stourbridge	1:3 ✺
10.10.26	Stourbridge - Leighton Town	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Stourbridge - Racing Club Warwick	0:1 ✺
29.09.26	Alvechurch - Stourbridge	0:0 ✺
22.09.26	Stourbridge - Real Bedford	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
20.12.25	Bury Town - Stourbridge	1:1
09.08.25	Stourbridge - Bury Town	2:0

Bury Town - Stourbridge