Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Stourbridge		Redditch United

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.35	2.68
	2.36	3.23	2.84
	2.31	3.7	2.73	Watch
	2.3	3	2.75
	2.27	3.32	2.78
	2.33	3.25	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.47)	3.31 ↓ (3.72)	2.77 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stourbridge
39.5%

Draw
27.6%

Redditch United
32.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

25%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

24.4%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stourbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Redditch United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Redditch United than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Stourbridge - Redditch United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Loughlan L. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stourbridge won 2.

Stourbridge is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Redditch is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Stourbridge won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:14. (average 2.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Stourbridge won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 2.1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Stourbridge	13	5	4	4	15:16	-1	19
13	Redditch	12	4	5	3	19:17	2	17

Last Results with these Odds

Stourbridge - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.59%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Redditch United - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.44%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stourbridge FC
English Southern League Central Division
17.01.26	Leiston - Stourbridge	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Stourbridge - Quorn	5:0 ✺
27.12.25	Stourbridge - Banbury United	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Bury Town - Stourbridge	1:1 ✺
17.12.25	Stourbridge - Harborough Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TWTTW
- Redditch United
English Southern League Central Division
17.01.26	Redditch United - Bishops Stortford	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Stratford Town - Redditch United	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Redditch United - Worcester City	1:4 ✺
27.12.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Redditch United	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Redditch United - Sudbury Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
20.09.25	Redditch United - Stourbridge	3:1
01.01.25	Stourbridge - Redditch United	1:1
26.08.24	Redditch United - Stourbridge	1:3
01.04.24	Redditch United - Stourbridge	0:1
01.01.24	Stourbridge - Redditch United	0:1
02.01.23	Redditch United - Stourbridge	0:3
29.08.22	Stourbridge - Redditch United	0:3

Stourbridge - Redditch United