Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 22

Date: 30 December 2023, Saturday


	Haringey Borough		Carshalton Athletic

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	1.93
	3.3	3.6	1.95
	3.29	3.94	1.98
	3.29	3.94	1.94
	3.1	3.5	1.85
	3.28	3.62	1.92
	3.3	3.6	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.75)	3.67 ↑ (3.6)	1.93 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haringey Borough
28.1%

Draw
24.8%

Carshalton Athletic
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

25.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

25.5%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haringey Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Carshalton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carshalton Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haringey Borough than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Haringey Borough - Carshalton Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Haringey won 2.

Haringey is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Carshalton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carshalton will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Haringey won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Haringey won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haringey Borough
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.12.23	Haringey Borough - Hashtag United	1:4 ✺
16.12.23	Billericay Town - Haringey Borough	1:2 ✺
10.12.23	Cray Wanderers - Haringey Borough	3:3 ✺
02.12.23	Haringey Borough - Chatham Town	0:3 ✺
25.11.23	Lewes - Haringey Borough	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LWTLL
- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.12.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Carshalton Athletic	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Carshalton Athletic - Whitehawk	2:1 ✺
09.12.23	Margate - Carshalton Athletic	0:1 ✺
02.12.23	Carshalton Athletic - Cheshunt	1:4 ✺
28.11.23	Billericay Town - Carshalton Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.08.23	Carshalton Athletic - Haringey Borough	1:0
14.01.23	Haringey Borough - Carshalton Athletic	1:0
27.08.22	Carshalton Athletic - Haringey Borough	0:1
05.03.22	Carshalton Athletic - Haringey Borough	3:0
23.10.21	Haringey Borough - Carshalton Athletic	1:1
27.01.20	Haringey Borough - Carshalton Athletic	2:2
09.02.19	Carshalton Athletic - Haringey Borough	3:1

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