Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 23

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Laagri kunstmurustaadion (Laagri)

Referee: Jaanovits J. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Harju JK Laagri		Levadia Tallinn

	1	X	2
				Watch
	9.50	6.75	1.18
	12.5	5.25	1.2
	16.12	7.68	1.18
	8.85	6.15	1.26	Watch
	16	7.7	1.13
	10.7	6.98	1.2	Watch
	11	6.4	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.1 ↑ (8.7)	6.7 ↑ (4.78)	1.19 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Harju JK Laagri
7.7%

Draw
13.9%

Levadia Tallinn
78.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.5%

19.2%

70.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.8%

17.9%

75.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harju JK Laagri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Levadia Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Levadia Tallinn's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadia Tallinn than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Harju JK Laagri - Levadia Tallinn Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Levadia will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vainula J. (G) 24. Laur K. 3. Kaevats A. 22. Kesa M. 88. Seck M. 66. Roomussaar K. 6. Palutaja H. 7. Reimaa R. 16. Kriis K. (C) 9. Eerme K. 19. Binate A.	99. Vallner K. (G) 23. Liivak F. 35. Iboro V. 20. Nwankwo A. 29. Saliste J. 6. Peetson R. (C) 11. Ainsalu M. 21. Skvortsov M. 33. Otoo E. 10. Wendell 7. Lehtmets G.
Substitutes
47. Ennuste K. 41. Kajari E. 17. Kelement M. 32. Kerge S. 11. Kose A. 79. Meesit R. (G) 36. Salei S. 95. Suppi S.	18. Alexandre 1. Ani O. (G) 22. Bessala M. 36. Joao Pedro 71. Kaua Davi 17. Kirss R. 9. Kutateladze N. 5. Roosnupp M. 4. Tammik T.
Coaches
Nuuma L.	Zahovaiko V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Ainsalu M. ⚽, Skvortsov M. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Binate A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Seck M. ↓, Kose A. ↑,
67', Palutaja H. ↓, Kajari E. ↑,
67', Roomussaar K. ↓, Kelement M. ↑,
73', Binate A. 🟨,
77', Wendell ↓, Kutateladze N. ↑,
77', Skvortsov M. ↓, Bessala M. ↑,
79', Kesa M. ↓, Suppi S. ↑,
79', Kaevats A. ↓, Salei S. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Peetson R. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harju won 0.

Harju has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Levadia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Harju may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Levadia is the obvious favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Harju won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:26. (average 0.7:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Harju won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Levadia	29	22	6	1	81:21	60	72
6	Harju JK Laagri	29	11	2	16	40:47	-7	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harju JK Laagri
Estonian Meistriliiga
07.08.26	Kuressaare - Harju JK Laagri	3:2 ✺
02.08.26	Flora Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri	1:0 ✺
19.07.26	Harju JK Laagri - Paide LM	5:2 ✺
10.07.26	Harju JK Laagri - Narva Trans	3:0 ✺
05.07.26	Tammeka - Harju JK Laagri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLWWL
- Levadia Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga
09.08.26	Levadia Tallinn - Nõmme United	5:0 ✺
02.08.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Levadia Tallinn	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Levadia Tallinn - IFK Göteborg	1:3 AET ✺
21.07.26	IFK Göteborg - Levadia Tallinn	1:2 ✺
16.07.26	Levadia Tallinn - Caernarfon Town	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
09.05.26	Levadia Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri	3:0
15.03.26	Harju JK Laagri - Levadia Tallinn	1:3
08.11.25	Harju JK Laagri - Levadia Tallinn	2:2
19.07.25	Levadia Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri	3:0
31.05.25	Harju JK Laagri - Levadia Tallinn	0:1
28.02.25	Levadia Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri	5:0
26.09.23	Harju JK Laagri - Levadia Tallinn	0:1

Upcoming Matches