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Current Win Probability
Harju JK Laagri 30.8%
Draw 25.2%
Paide LM 44%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.6%
22.9%
56.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.9%
22.1%
58.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harju JK Laagri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Harju JK Laagri's performance.
Paide LM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paide LM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Harju JK Laagri that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paide LM could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
13.3%
66.7%
Harju JK Laagri - Paide LM Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Harju will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Paide will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Paide: 42.8% ā 90.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Harju (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.52) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (1.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vainula J. (G) 3. Kaevats A. 18. Bah I. 24. Laur K. 6. Palutaja H. 17. Kelement M. 23. Rudenko Daniil 9. Eerme K. 16. Kriis K. (C) 13. Sillamaa R. 19. Binate A.
56. Sapp M. (G) 2. Lilander M. 15. Ojamaa H. 4. Andrade 24. Nigula R. 20. Piht K. 6. Daniel Cabral 21. Smirnov R. 19. Luts S. 9. Anier H. 8. Ojamaa H. (C)
Substitutes
47. Ennuste K. 41. Kajari E. 5. Kartau I. 32. Kerge S. 22. Kesa M. 11. Kose A. 79. Meesit R. (G) 53. Ndakala J. 7. Reimaa R. 66. Roomussaar K. 95. Suppi S.
30. Badamosi A. 27. Baranov N. 17. Cham P. A. 28. Hoim O. 99. Jarju E. (G) 14. Jobarteh M. 77. Luts D. 11. Sohna M. P. 16. Surogin A. 7. Tur E.
Coaches
Nuuma L.
Kink T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (5 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Laur K. ⚽, Rudenko Daniil (A),
14', 2 - 0, Kriis K. (Penalty Awarded),
22', 3 - 0, Eerme K. ⚽, Kelement M. (A),
28', 3 - 1, Anier H. ⚽, Ojamaa H. (A),
34', Bah I. 🟨,
35', 4 - 1, Sillamaa R. ⚽, Bah I. (A),
40', 5 - 1, Binate A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Laur K. 🟨,
51', Ojamaa H. 🟨,
52', Daniel Cabral 🟨,
57', Daniel Cabral ↓, Luts D. ↑,
57', Piht K. ↓, Surogin A. ↑,
57', Ojamaa H. ↓, Hoim O. ↑,
66', Vainula J. 🟨,
66', 5 - 2, Anier H. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Ojamaa H. 🟨,
69', Kelement M. 🟨,
69', Sillamaa R. ↓, Ndakala J. ↑,
69', Eerme K. ↓, Kajari E. ↑,
70', Bah I. ↓, Kartau I. ↑,
73', Anier H. ↓, Badamosi A. ↑,
73', Luts S. ↓, Cham P. A. ↑,
77', Binate A. ↓, Kerge S. ↑,
79', Hoim O. 🟨,
83', Kriis K. 🟨,
85', Rudenko Daniil ↓, Ennuste K. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harju won 1.
Harju is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Paide is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins ā 3).
Harju may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Paide is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Harju won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Harju won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Paide
29
15
6
8
48:36
12
51
6
Harju JK Laagri
29
11
2
16
40:47
-7
35
Last Results with these Odds
Paide LM - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 56.5%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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Vainula J. (G) 
Rudenko Daniil 
Binate A. 
Andrade 
Badamosi A. 
