Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lee R. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Estonia	19:30	Soccernet TV
Usa	12:30	SportsEngine Play
Wales	17:30	Cymru Football TV


	Levadia Tallinn		Caernarfon Town

	1	X	2
	1.17	6.25	12.00	Watch
	1.17	7.00	12.50
	1.19	6.40	12.50	Watch
	1.15	7.38	14.59
	1.00	50.00	50.00	Watch
	1.10	7.45	14.00
	1.13	7.40	17.00	Watch
	1.15	7.00	15.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.23)	12.36 ↑ (5.67)	18.45 ↑ (10)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levadia Tallinn
86.7%

Draw
7.9%

Caernarfon Town
5.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

74.6%

16.2%

9.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levadia Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Levadia Tallinn's performance.

Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Levadia Tallinn - Caernarfon Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Levadia Tallinn will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Vallner K. (G) 23. Liivak F. 35. Iboro V. 20. Nwankwo A. 29. Saliste J. 36. Joao Pedro 6. Peetson R. (C) 33. Otoo E. 11. Ainsalu M. 10. Wendell 9. Tambedou B.	1. Roberts C. (G) 5. Mooney P. 4. Piggott J. 23. Marriott Ch. 3. Jones M. 27. Sears R. 6. Lewis I. 11. Cieslewicz A. 10. Thomas D. (C) 9. Clarke Z. 14. Edwards N.
Substitutes
1. Ani O. (G) 71. Kaua Davi 17. Kirss R. 7. Lehtmets G. 30. Liiv H. 5. Roosnupp M. 19. Sambe M. 21. Skvortsov M. 4. Tammik T.	21. Evans C. 29. Evans O. 8. Gosset D. 40. Griffith C. 7. Mendes P. 2. Owen M. 15. Smith D. 13. Thomas H. (G) 54. Williams C. 17. Williams J. (G) 49. Wyn H. 25. Zanzala O.
Coaches
Zahovaiko V.	Davies R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Otoo E. ⚽, Saliste J. (A),
21', 2 - 0, Wendell ⚽, Tambedou B. (A),
33', 3 - 0, Joao Pedro (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Thomas D. ↓, Evans O. ↑,
58', Lewis I. ↓, Gosset D. ↑,
65', Nwankwo A. 🟨,
65', Clarke Z. 🟨,
66', Joao Pedro ↓, Skvortsov M. ↑,
66', Wendell ↓, Lehtmets G. ↑,
66', Otoo E. ↓, Roosnupp M. ↑,
66', Liivak F. ↓, Kaua Davi ↑,
66', Saliste J. ↓, Liiv H. ↑,
67', Jones M. 🟨,
70', 4 - 0, Tambedou B. ⚽, Lehtmets G. (A),
76', Clarke Z. ↓, Zanzala O. ↑,
87', Edwards N. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
87', Cieslewicz A. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
89', 5 - 0, Ainsalu M. ⚽, Roosnupp M. (A),

Preview

First leg result: 5-0.

Levadia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Levadia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Levadia is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Levadia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Levadia Tallinn - the odds 1.23 are the expected chance of winning is 74.62%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levadia Tallinn
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Caernarfon Town - Levadia Tallinn	0:5 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
04.07.26	Narva Trans - Levadia Tallinn	1:3 ✺
28.06.26	Levadia Tallinn - Flora Tallinn	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Levadia Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju	1:1 ✺
17.06.26	Nõmme United - Levadia Tallinn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLTW
- Caernarfon Town
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Caernarfon Town - Levadia Tallinn	0:5 ✺
Club Friendly
20.06.26	Glentoran - Caernarfon Town	1:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
18.04.26	Caernarfon Town - Pen-y-Bont	2:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
12.04.26	Caernarfon Town - Flint Town United	3:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
03.04.26	Colwyn Bay - Caernarfon Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Caernarfon Town - Levadia Tallinn	0:5

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