The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kuressaare 32.2%
Draw 26%
Harju JK Laagri 41.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34%
26.6%
39.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
27%
40%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kuressaare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Harju JK Laagri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Kuressaare - Harju JK Laagri Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Nomm K. (C) 23. Saar R. 36. Piil R. 21. Lukka M. 68. Vahermagi J. 5. Sinilaid S. 8. Andreas D. 77. Demidov E. 7. Talu R. 11. Jurisoo T. 13. Visse A.
1. Vainula J. (C) 23. Rudenko Daniil 3. Kaevats A. 88. Seck M. 18. Bah I. 6. Palutaja H. 5. Kartau I. 17. Kelement M. 53. Ndakala J. 9. Eerme K. 19. Binate A.
Substitutes
44. Joost O. 10. Kivi A. 72. Lohmus R. 25. Lonks J. 28. Lukas R. 22. Ristna S. (G) 80. Tarkmeel R. 70. Vahermagi J.
47. Ennuste K. 41. Kajari E. 32. Kerge S. 22. Kesa M. 11. Kose A. 24. Laur K. 79. Meesit R. (G) 7. Reimaa R. 66. Roomussaar K. 95. Suppi S.
Coaches
Post S.
Nuuma L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Bah I. 🟨,
14', Talu R. ↓, Vahermagi J. ↑,
24', Binate A. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Jurisoo T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Kartau I. ↓, Kesa M. ↑,
46', Eerme K. ↓, Roomussaar K. ↑,
54', Vahermagi J. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Kesa M. ⚽,
59', Visse A. ↓, Kivi A. ↑,
64', Bah I. ↓, Kose A. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Kose A. ⚽, Binate A. (A),
70', 🟨,
77', Vahermagi J. ↓, Tarkmeel R. ↑,
77', Demidov E. ↓, Lukas R. ↑,
82', Ndakala J. 🟨,
87', Rudenko Daniil 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, Kivi A. ⚽,
90+1', Binate A. ↓, Reimaa R. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 2, Vahermagi J. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 2.
Kuressaare is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Harju has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Kuressaare won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).