Match Info
Meistriliiga - Round 22Date: 7 August 2026, FridayLocation: Kuressaare Linnastaadion (Kuressaare)Referee: Kulljastinen K. (Est)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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Kuressaare |
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Harju JK Laagri |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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2.70 |
3.30 |
2.20 |
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2.82 |
3.45 |
2.22 |
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2.91 |
3.62 |
2.25 |
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2.85 |
3.75 |
2.21 |
Watch |
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2.85 |
3.55 |
2.2 |
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3.02 |
3.67 |
2.15 |
Watch |
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2.85 |
3.4 |
2.2 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↑
(2.68) |
3.53 ↑
(3.43) |
2.2 ↓
(2.31) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kuressaare
32.2% | Draw
26% | Harju JK Laagri
41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kuressaare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Harju JK Laagri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (-1.8%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
31.  Nomm K. (C)
23. Saar R.
36. Piil R.
21. Lukka M.
68. Vahermagi J.
5. Sinilaid S.
8. Andreas D.
77. Demidov E.
7. Talu R.
11. Jurisoo T.
13. Visse A.
| 1. Vainula J. (C)
23.  Rudenko Daniil
3. Kaevats A.
88.  Seck M.
18. Bah I.
6. Palutaja H.
5. Kartau I.
17. Kelement M.
53.  Ndakala J.
9. Eerme K.
19. Binate A.
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| Substitutes |
44. Joost O.
10. Kivi A.
72. Lohmus R.
25. Lonks J.
28. Lukas R.
22. Ristna S. (G)
80. Tarkmeel R.
70. Vahermagi J.
| 47. Ennuste K.
41. Kajari E.
32. Kerge S.
22. Kesa M.
11. Kose A.
24. Laur K.
79. Meesit R. (G)
7. Reimaa R.
66. Roomussaar K.
95. Suppi S.
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| Coaches |
Post S.
| Nuuma L.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Bah I. 🟨,
- 14', Talu R. ↓, Vahermagi J. ↑,
- 24', Binate A. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Jurisoo T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Kartau I. ↓, Kesa M. ↑,
- 46', Eerme K. ↓, Roomussaar K. ↑,
- 54', Vahermagi J. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 1, Kesa M. ⚽,
- 59', Visse A. ↓, Kivi A. ↑,
- 64', Bah I. ↓, Kose A. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 2, Kose A. ⚽, Binate A. (A),
- 70', 🟨,
- 77', Vahermagi J. ↓, Tarkmeel R. ↑,
- 77', Demidov E. ↓, Lukas R. ↑,
- 82', Ndakala J. 🟨,
- 87', Rudenko Daniil 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 2, Kivi A. ⚽,
- 90+1', Binate A. ↓, Reimaa R. ↑,
- 90+6', 3 - 2, Vahermagi J. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 2.Kuressaare is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).Harju has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.3:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Kuressaare won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
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Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 23 | 8 | 1 | 14 | 33:40 | -7 | 25 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 25:38 | -13 | 24 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Estonian Meistriliiga | | | 13.06.26 | Harju JK Laagri - Kuressaare | 2:3 | | 11.04.26 | Kuressaare - Harju JK Laagri | 3:2 | | 17.09.25 | Harju JK Laagri - Kuressaare | 2:1 | | 09.08.25 | Kuressaare - Harju JK Laagri | 1:3 | | 29.06.25 | Harju JK Laagri - Kuressaare | 1:1 | | 16.03.25 | Kuressaare - Harju JK Laagri | 1:2 | | Club Friendly | | | 25.01.25 | Harju JK Laagri - Kuressaare | 2:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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