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Current Win Probability
Harju JK Laagri 48%
Draw 23.9%
Nõmme United 28%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41%
24%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
22.9%
33.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harju JK Laagri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Harju JK Laagri's performance.
Nõmme United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nõmme United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Harju JK Laagri that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nõmme United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme United Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Harju will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Harju (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Harju (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Harju (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vainula J. (G) 7. Reimaa R. (C) 6. Palutaja H. 3. Kaevats A. 20. Vaher A. 21. Soo S. 17. Kelement M. 23. Rudenko Daniil 19. Binate A. 9. Eerme K. 24. Laur K.
71. Purg G. (G) 55. Chanda R. 50. Geiger S. 6. Palts M. 23. Laanelaid K. 10. Frolov A. (C) 26. Oostenbrink K. 45. Jarvelaid H. 51. Beglarishvili Z. 19. Krasnov I. 15. Evans T.
Substitutes
18. Bah I. 41. Kajari E. 22. Kesa M. 11. Kose A. 16. Kriis K. 15. Liit S. 79. Meesit R. (G) 53. Ndakala J. 66. Roomussaar K. 88. Seck M. 95. Suppi S.
4. Alteberg A. 91. Kais O. (G) 1. Lagus G. (G) 12. Marmei M. 20. Matas K. 27. Miil M. 9. Ounapuu E. 7. Torres A. 14. Vassiljev N.
Coaches
Nuuma L.
Wynalda E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Rudenko Daniil ⚽,
43', Laanelaid K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Evans T. ↓, Ounapuu E. ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Eerme K. ⚽, Palutaja H. (A),
56', Eerme K. 🟨,
59', Laanelaid K. ↓, Matas K. ↑,
68', Kelement M. ↓, Seck M. ↑,
68', Palutaja H. ↓, Kesa M. ↑,
69', Oostenbrink K. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
75', Soo S. ↓, Roomussaar K. ↑,
75', Reimaa R. ↓, Kriis K. ↑,
81', Frolov A. ↓, Vassiljev N. ↑,
82', Kaevats A. ↓, Suppi S. ↑,
86', Geiger S. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harju won 3.
Harju has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Nõmme United has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Harju may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Harju has faced a series of away games on the road.
Harju is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Harju has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:16 (averaging 2.2:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Harju against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:7 goals (averaging 2.6:1.4 per game).
Estonia
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Vainula J. (G) 
Rudenko Daniil 
Binate A. 
Chanda R. 
Geiger S. 
Oostenbrink K. 
Beglarishvili Z. 
Evans T. 
Seck M. 
Torres A. 
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