Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 29

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Laagri kunstmurustaadion (Laagri)

Referee: Jakobson J. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV


	Harju JK Laagri		Kuressaare

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.60	2.80
	2.18	3.55	2.80
	2.16	3.70	3.17
	2.06	3.8	3.12	Watch
	2.13	3.45	3.10
	2.13	3.74	3.01	Watch
	2.12	3.55	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.98)	3.63 ↓ (3.65)	2.98 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Harju JK Laagri
43.6%

Draw
25.4%

Kuressaare
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

25%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

23.6%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harju JK Laagri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Kuressaare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harju JK Laagri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Harju JK Laagri - Kuressaare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vainula J. (G) 3. Kaevats A. 20. Vaher A. 24. Laur K. 88. Seck M. 22. Kesa M. 6. Palutaja H. 7. Reimaa R. (C) 19. Binate A. 10. Assale Y. E. 9. Eerme K.	31. Nomm K. (C) 23. Saar R. 36. Piil R. 21. Lukka M. 68. Vahermagi J. 9. Svedovski A. 28. Lukas R. 77. Demidov E. 11. Jurisoo T. 8. Andreas D. 13. Visse A.
Substitutes
18. Bah I. 47. Ennuste K. 41. Kajari E. 32. Kerge S. 11. Kose A. 15. Liit S. 79. Meesit R. (G) 23. Rudenko Daniil 36. Salei S. 21. Soo S. 95. Suppi S.	14. Kobin J. 3. Leedo K. 25. Lonks J. 27. Prunn S. 22. Ristna S. (G) 17. Roivassepp G. 5. Sinilaid S. 80. Tarkmeel R.
Coaches
Nuuma L.	Post S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Kesa M. ↓, Bah I. ↑,
41', Vahermagi J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Reimaa R. 🟨,
57', Lukka M. 🟨,
76', Eerme K. ↓, Rudenko Daniil ↑,
76', Seck M. ↓, Kajari E. ↑,
84', Assale Y. E. ↓, Ennuste K. ↑,
89', Nomm K. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harju won 2.

In recent outings, Harju has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Kuressaare is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Harju holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Harju has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:17 (averaging 1.7:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Harju against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:7 goals (averaging 1.5:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Harju JK Laagri	29	11	2	16	40:47	-7	35
8	Kuressaare	29	8	5	16	31:49	-18	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harju JK Laagri
Estonian Meistriliiga
13.09.26	Paide LM - Harju JK Laagri	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Harju JK Laagri	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	Harju JK Laagri - Tammeka	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Nõmme United - Harju JK Laagri	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme Kalju	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WLLWW
- FC Kuressaare
Estonian Meistriliiga
13.09.26	Kuressaare - Tammeka	1:3 ✺
09.09.26	Levadia Tallinn - Kuressaare	4:0 ✺
05.09.26	Kuressaare - Narva Trans	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Tammeka - Kuressaare	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
07.08.26	Kuressaare - Harju JK Laagri	3:2
13.06.26	Harju JK Laagri - Kuressaare	2:3
11.04.26	Kuressaare - Harju JK Laagri	3:2
17.09.25	Harju JK Laagri - Kuressaare	2:1
09.08.25	Kuressaare - Harju JK Laagri	1:3
29.06.25	Harju JK Laagri - Kuressaare	1:1
16.03.25	Kuressaare - Harju JK Laagri	1:2

Upcoming Matches