The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Harju JK Laagri 40.8%
Draw 27.6%
Pärnu Vaprus 31.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.5%
24.5%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
24.5%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harju JK Laagri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pärnu Vaprus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pärnu Vaprus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Harju JK Laagri - Pärnu Vaprus Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vainula J. (G) 4. Jarve A. 41. Kajari E. 15. Liit S. 22. Kesa M. 5. Kartau I. 17. Kelement M. 23. Rudenko Daniil 16. Kriis K. 9. Eerme K. 19. Binate A.
16. Nomm O. (G) 5. Aer S. 43. Seppik M. 28. Lipp M. 42. Limberg M. 24. Villota M. 20. Valja H. 15. Aloe K. 8. Pajo T. 9. Poder J. 22. Lepik M.
Substitutes
18. Bah I. 47. Ennuste K. 3. Kaevats A. 32. Kerge S. 11. Kose A. 79. Meesit R. (G) 53. Ndakala J. 6. Palutaja H. 7. Reimaa R. 13. Sillamaa R. 21. Soo S.
64. Allas J. 19. Korre A. 14. Orm R. 12. Ristimets M. (G) 86. Roosson R. 90. Sild J. 1. Vainu H. (G) 7. Vallik V.
Coaches
Nuuma L.
Prins I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Binate A. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Kriis K. ⚽,
21', Villota M. 🟨,
32', Kajari E. 🟨,
45', Jarve A. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Poder J. ⚽, Limberg M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Kajari E. 🟨,
63', Binate A. ↓, Sillamaa R. ↑,
63', Eerme K. ↓, Bah I. ↑,
63', Kesa M. ↓, Reimaa R. ↑,
66', Bah I. 🟨,
66', Lepik M. ↓, Vallik V. ↑,
77', Poder J. 🟨,
80', 1 - 2, Limberg M. ⚽, Villota M. (A),
85', Rudenko Daniil ↓, Ndakala J. ↑,
85', Poder J. ↓, Sild J. ↑,
90', Reimaa R. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harju won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Pärnu Vaprus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Harju won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Harju won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).