Match Info

Date: 16 October 2021, Saturday


	Harrow Borough		Chelmsford City

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.5	1.97
	3.17	3.52	2.03
	3.18	3.76	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (3.22)	3.59 ↑ (3.45)	2.01 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrow Borough
29%

Draw
25.5%

Chelmsford City
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

26.4%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

17.8%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrow Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrow Borough than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harrow Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chelmsford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Harrow Borough - Chelmsford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Harrow is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Chelmsford is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chelmsford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Chelmsford will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrow Borough
English Southern League South Division
12.10.21	Harrow Borough - Beaconsfield Town	3:1 ✺
09.10.21	Truro City - Harrow Borough	2:1 ✺
25.09.21	Harrow Borough - Dorchester Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
18.09.21	Welling United - Harrow Borough	0:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
14.09.21	Farnborough - Harrow Borough	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WLWWW
- Chelmsford City
English National League South
09.10.21	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Chelmsford City	4:2 ✺
English FA Cup
02.10.21	Chelmsford City - Enfield Town	1:0 ✺
English National League South
25.09.21	Chelmsford City - Dulwich Hamlet	0:2 ✺
11.09.21	Chippenham Town - Chelmsford City	2:3 ✺
04.09.21	Chelmsford City - Dorking Wanderers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWLWT

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