Match Info

National League South - Round 41

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Chippenham Town		Chelmsford City

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	2.02
	3.34	3.47	2.1
	3.3	3.54	2.06	Watch
	3.3	3.25	2.1
	3.38	3.43	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (3.2)	3.42 ↓ (3.54)	2.07 (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chippenham Town
28%

Draw
27.2%

Chelmsford City
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

26.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

24.6%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chippenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Chippenham Town - Chelmsford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Murphy J. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chippenham won 0.

Chippenham is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chelmsford is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chippenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Chelmsford could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Chippenham won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Chippenham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Chelmsford: 5.21%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Chelmsford	9	1	8	0	9:8	1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Chippenham Town - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.99%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Chelmsford City - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.81%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chippenham Town
English National League South
21.03.26	Chippenham Town - Eastbourne Borough	5:2 ✺
14.03.26	Dover Athletic - Chippenham Town	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Chippenham Town	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Chippenham Town - Enfield Town	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Chippenham Town - Maidenhead United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WWLWW
- Chelmsford City
English National League South
25.03.26	Farnborough - Chelmsford City	4:2 ✺
21.03.26	Chelmsford City - Dover Athletic	1:2 ✺
16.03.26	Chelmsford City - Slough Town	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Worthing - Chelmsford City	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Dorking Wanderers - Chelmsford City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
11.10.25	Chelmsford City - Chippenham Town	4:3
English National League South
23.08.25	Chelmsford City - Chippenham Town	2:1
05.04.25	Chippenham Town - Chelmsford City	0:1
26.08.24	Chelmsford City - Chippenham Town	1:1
20.04.24	Chippenham Town - Chelmsford City	1:1
11.11.23	Chelmsford City - Chippenham Town	2:2
07.01.23	Chelmsford City - Chippenham Town	0:1

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