Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 37

Date: 6 March 2023, Monday


	Chelmsford City		Dulwich Hamlet

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.25	3.5
	1.95	3.25	3.4
	1.92	3.5	3.77
	1.95	3.3	3.5
	1.89	3.62	3.7
	1.91	3.35	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.77)	3.38 ↓ (3.5)	3.58 ↓ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmsford City
47.6%

Draw
27%

Dulwich Hamlet
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

26.3%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

26.1%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Dulwich Hamlet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dulwich Hamlet than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Chelmsford City - Dulwich Hamlet Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Chelmsford will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Dulwich will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelmsford: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chelmsford won 1.

Recent matches Chelmsford is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dulwich is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chelmsford will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Chelmsford won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Chelmsford won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelmsford City
English National League South
04.03.23	Eastbourne Borough - Chelmsford City	2:2 ✺
25.02.23	Chelmsford City - Ebbsfleet United	0:1 ✺
20.02.23	Chelmsford City - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
18.02.23	Dover Athletic - Chelmsford City	0:0 ✺
13.02.23	Chelmsford City - Slough Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLWTW
- Dulwich Hamlet
English National League South
04.03.23	Dulwich Hamlet - St Albans City	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Dulwich Hamlet	2:0 ✺
21.02.23	Worthing - Dulwich Hamlet	6:0 ✺
18.02.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Bath City	1:2 ✺
14.02.23	Braintree Town - Dulwich Hamlet	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
06.12.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Chelmsford City	2:1
05.02.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Chelmsford City	1:3
25.09.21	Chelmsford City - Dulwich Hamlet	0:2
31.10.20	Dulwich Hamlet - Chelmsford City	0:0
01.02.20	Dulwich Hamlet - Chelmsford City	5:3
26.10.19	Chelmsford City - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1
26.01.19	Dulwich Hamlet - Chelmsford City	1:3

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