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Current Win Probability
Merthyr Town 34.7%
Draw 26.8%
Truro City 38.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.1%
27.5%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
27%
38.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Merthyr Town - Truro City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
Preview
Replayed if draw.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Truro may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Truro has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Merthyr has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:7 (averaging 0.8:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Merthyr against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:4 goals (averaging 1.5:2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Truro City - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.38%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.
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