Match Info

Date: 8 May 2022, Sunday


	New York Red Bulls 2		Sacramento Republic

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.5	1.9
	3.25	3.25	1.99
	3.87	4	1.8
	3.24	3.48	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↓ (3.98)	3.56 ↓ (3.63)	1.93 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

Watch this match and USL Championship with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX (KTXL-TV ‚Äì Sacramento, CA)

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

New York Red Bulls 2
26.8%

Draw
25.7%

Sacramento Republic
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

25.2%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

24.9%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+5%)

New York Red Bulls 2 - Sacramento Republic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

New York Red Bulls 2 has the most likely position - 14 (33.38%), has project points - 27, has currently - 4, has a very small chance of playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of qtrs (1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sacramento Republic has the most likely position - 6 (12.58%), has project points - 51, has currently - 12, has a good chance of playoffs (67%), has a chance of qtrs (35%), has a small chance of semis (15%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

This event has very small quality 9, small importance 12, small match rating 10. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

New York Red Bulls 2 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sacramento Republic is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

New York Red Bulls 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sacramento Republic will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches New York Red Bulls 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Red Bulls 2
USL Championship
30.04.22	Detroit City - New York Red Bulls 2	2:0 ✺
23.04.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:1 ✺
15.04.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Rio Grande Valley	0:1 ✺
02.04.22	Tulsa - New York Red Bulls 2	3:2 ✺
23.03.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Louisville City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLLL
- Sacramento Republic FC
USL Championship
04.05.22	Sacramento Republic - New Mexico United	0:0 ✺
30.04.22	Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights	1:1 ✺
23.04.22	Rio Grande Valley - Sacramento Republic	2:1 ✺
16.04.22	Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
02.04.22	Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
31.07.21	Sacramento Republic - New York Red Bulls 2	3:1

Upcoming Matches