Match Info

Date: 10 October 2020, Saturday


	Hartford Athletic		Saint Louis

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	2.85	Watch
	2.15	3.35	2.9
	2.2	3.15	2.85
	2.29	3.29	2.98
	2.23	3.25	3.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.67)	3.29 ↑ (3.25)	2.92 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartford Athletic
41.2%

Draw
27.6%

Saint Louis
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

28%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

20.3%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hartford Athletic's performance.

Saint Louis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saint Louis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hartford Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint Louis than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Hartford Athletic - Saint Louis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Hartford was already of playoffs, has a chance of qtrs (48%), has a small chance of semis (12%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Saint Louis was already of playoffs, has a good chance of qtrs (52%), has a small chance of semis (13%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Hartford in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Saint Louis is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hartford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hartford have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hartford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Hartford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartford Athletic
USL Championship
04.10.20	New York Red Bulls 2 - Hartford Athletic	0:2 ✺
30.09.20	Philadelphia Union II - Hartford Athletic	2:3 ✺
26.09.20	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Hartford Athletic	0:1 ✺
23.09.20	Hartford Athletic - Philadelphia Union II	1:1 ✺
20.09.20	Philadelphia Union II - Hartford Athletic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.2 WWWTW
- Saint Louis FC
USL Championship
03.10.20	Saint Louis - Indy Eleven	2:1 ✺
26.09.20	Saint Louis - Louisville City	0:1 ✺
23.09.20	Indy Eleven - Saint Louis	1:1 ✺
19.09.20	Saint Louis - Sporting Kansas City II	3:2 ✺
12.09.20	Louisville City - Saint Louis	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
01.09.19	Saint Louis - Hartford Athletic	3:2
08.06.19	Hartford Athletic - Saint Louis	2:1

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