Match Info

Date: 17 October 2020, Saturday


	Louisville City		Saint Louis

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4	6	Watch
	1.45	4.75	4.75
	1.49	3.9	5.6
	1.46	4.14	6.31
	1.43	4.25	6.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.7)	4.21 ↑ (3.58)	5.84 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louisville City
62.7%

Draw
21.7%

Saint Louis
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

25.3%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

20.6%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Louisville City's performance.

Saint Louis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saint Louis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint Louis than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Louisville City - Saint Louis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Louisville City was already of playoffs, was already of qtrs, has a good chance of semis (74%), has a chance of final (47%), has a chance of win league (26%).

Saint Louis was already of playoffs, was already of qtrs, has a chance of semis (26%), has a small chance of final (9%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Louisville City in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Saint Louis is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Louisville City is a favorite.

Saint Louis is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Last 13 head-to-head matches Louisville City won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Louisville City won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louisville City FC
USL Championship
10.10.20	Louisville City - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:0 ✺
03.10.20	Louisville City - Sporting Kansas City II	2:1 ✺
26.09.20	Saint Louis - Louisville City	0:1 ✺
19.09.20	Louisville City - Memphis 901	4:1 ✺
16.09.20	Indy Eleven - Louisville City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWWW
- Saint Louis FC
USL Championship
10.10.20	Hartford Athletic - Saint Louis	0:1 ✺
03.10.20	Saint Louis - Indy Eleven	2:1 ✺
26.09.20	Saint Louis - Louisville City	0:1 ✺
23.09.20	Indy Eleven - Saint Louis	1:1 ✺
19.09.20	Saint Louis - Sporting Kansas City II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
26.09.20	Saint Louis - Louisville City	0:1
12.09.20	Louisville City - Saint Louis	3:0
29.08.20	Saint Louis - Louisville City	1:1
18.07.20	Louisville City - Saint Louis	0:1
05.10.19	Saint Louis - Louisville City	0:1
18.05.19	Louisville City - Saint Louis	0:0
US Open Cup
23.05.18	Louisville City - Saint Louis	1:0

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