Match Info

Date: 23 September 2020, Wednesday


	Indy Eleven		Saint Louis

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.6
	1.72	3.45	4.2
	1.69	3.35	4.6
	1.75	3.55	4.58
	1.76	3.48	4.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.81)	3.49 ↓ (3.6)	4.26 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indy Eleven
52.4%

Draw
26.2%

Saint Louis
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

25%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

19.6%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Saint Louis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Indy Eleven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint Louis than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Indy Eleven - Saint Louis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Indy has a good chance of playoffs (78%), has a chance of qtrs (25%), has a small chance of semis (10%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Saint Louis has a chance of playoffs (22%), has a small chance of qtrs (6%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Indy have a series of home games.

In this match Indy is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Indy won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Indy won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
16.09.20	Indy Eleven - Louisville City	0:2 ✺
09.09.20	Indy Eleven - Sporting Kansas City II	2:1 ✺
05.09.20	Indy Eleven - Louisville City	1:3 ✺
26.08.20	Louisville City - Indy Eleven	1:0 ✺
15.08.20	Indy Eleven - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLW
- Saint Louis FC
USL Championship
19.09.20	Saint Louis - Sporting Kansas City II	3:2 ✺
12.09.20	Louisville City - Saint Louis	3:0 ✺
04.09.20	Saint Louis - Sporting Kansas City II	3:2 ✺
29.08.20	Saint Louis - Louisville City	1:1 ✺
22.08.20	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Saint Louis	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
26.07.20	Saint Louis - Indy Eleven	1:0
11.07.20	Indy Eleven - Saint Louis	2:0
18.08.19	Indy Eleven - Saint Louis	2:1
09.03.19	Saint Louis - Indy Eleven	2:1

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