The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hartford Athletic 26.6%
Draw 26.6%
Tampa Bay Rowdies 46.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.6%
27.1%
46.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.6%
26.1%
44.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Hartford Athletic have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
77. Siaha A. (C) 21. Mines B. 4. Scarlett J. 25. Fischer B. 3. Real M. 7. Adedokun M. 8. Moreira J. 18. Hadjipaschalis C. 19. Samadia E. 11. Ngalina M. 17. Anaku S.
1. Waite J. (G) 27. Wyke L. 23. Schneider M. 62. Dossantos N. 20. Ostrem C. 26. Acoff D. 8. Pedro Becker 4. Hilton L. (C) 10. Cicerone R. 14. Henderlong K. 9. Myers M.
Substitutes
2. Anderson S. 1. Carvalho E. (G) 16. Coffey B. 15. Diz A. 27. Gordon S. 6. Makangila B. 47. Pearman O. 29. Taofeek A. 9. Williams A.
7. Conway E. 19. Locadia J. 16. Micaletto M. 33. Nigro G. 24. Pack A. (G) 13. Perez L. 36. Rodriguez A.
Coaches
Burke B.
Casciato D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Adedokun M. ⚽, Anaku S. (A),
41', Ngalina M. 🟨,
43', Hilton L. 🟨,
45', Adedokun M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Scarlett J. ↓, Diz A. ↑,
46', Hilton L. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Anaku S. ⚽, Ngalina M. (A),
50', Diz A. 🟨,
54', Henderlong K. ↓, Locadia J. ↑,
55', Moreira J. 🟨,
61', Mines B. ↓, Anderson S. ↑,
61', Adedokun M. ↓, Coffey B. ↑,
62', Anaku S. ↓, Williams A. ↑,
68', Siaha A. 🟨,
74', Hadjipaschalis C. ↓, Makangila B. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Wyke L. ⚽, Cicerone R. (A),
81', Perez L. 🟨,
83', Pedro Becker ↓, Micaletto M. ↑,
86', Waite J. 🟨,
87', 3 - 1, Ngalina M. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Moreira J. 🟨,
89', Schneider M. ↓, Conway E. ↑,
90', Perez L. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Tampa Bay is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 1.
Hartford is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Tampa Bay has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Hartford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Tampa Bay might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 13:24. (average 0.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Hartford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).