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Current Win Probability
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 28.8%
Draw 31.6%
Tampa Bay Rowdies 39.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.7%
27.6%
41.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.8%
27.5%
41.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pittsburgh Riverhounds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+2%)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tampa Bay Rowdies Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Campuzano N. (G) 2. Griffin D. (C) 5. Souza V. 6. Mikoy O. 16. Ydrach R. 37. Goldthorp E. 14. Mertz R. 42. Walti J. 10. Ahl C. 7. Amann T. 19. Bassett S.
1. Waite J. (G) 26. Acoff D. 21. Bartlow E. 62. Dossantos N. (C) 20. Ostrem C. 27. Wyke L. 23. Schneider M. 9. Myers M. 16. Micaletto M. 10. Cicerone R. 14. Henderlong K.
Substitutes
3. Barnes P. 8. Etou B. 18. Garcia J. 28. Osumanu I. 24. Sheridan M. (G) 36. Tsukanome Y. 23. Vacter G.
2. Antley C. 7. Conway E. 4. Hilton L. 33. Nigro G. 24. Pack A. (G) 8. Pedro Becker 13. Perez L.
Coaches
Vincent R.
Casciato D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Schneider M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Micaletto M. ↓, Pedro Becker ↑,
63', Amann T. 🟨,
68', Bassett S. ↓, Tsukanome Y. ↑,
69', Henderlong K. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
69', Myers M. ↓, Conway E. ↑,
72', Goldthorp E. 🟨,
74', Vincent R. 🟥,
75', Ahl C. 🟨,
76', Goldthorp E. ↓, Etou B. ↑,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 1.
Pittsburgh is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Tampa Bay has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Tampa Bay will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.2:0.8).
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Campuzano N. (G) 
Griffin D. (C) 
Ydrach R. 
Goldthorp E. 
Waite J. (G) 
Dossantos N. (C) 
Schneider M. 
Micaletto M. 
Etou B. 
Osumanu I. 
Tsukanome Y. 
Vacter G. 
Pedro Becker 
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