Match Info

National League - Round 9

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Victoria Park (Hartlepool)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hartlepool United		Brackley Town

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.3
	1.93	3.3	3.3
	2	3.4	3.5
	2	3.56	3.7
	2.57	2.48	3.53	Watch
	2.01	3.42	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.96)	3.26 ↓ (3.5)	3.46 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
44.6%

Draw
28.5%

Brackley Town
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

26.5%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

25.8%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Hartlepool United - Brackley Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cartwright H. (G) 2. Benn J. 11. Charman L. 28. Daly M. 7. Francis J. 3. John C. 5. Kouogun M. 6. McNally R. 19. Reid A. 14. Sheron N. (C) 23. Topalloj B.	1. Maxted J. (G) 18. Armitage W. 8. Brown Z. 23. Byrne S. 3. Calder R. 17. Donawa J. 19. Lilly Z. 11. Lowe M. 5. Morrison K. 4. Price J. 10. Roberts M.
Substitutes
. Ferguson 9. Johnson D. 18. Miley J. . Oliver V. 4. Parkes T. 40. Smith A. (G) 38. Walker B.	21. Gregory C. (G) 27. Hall C. 15. Hobson B. 2. Lyttle T. . Okafor M. 7. Pollock S. 14. Waldron D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Lilly Z. 🟨,
44', Byrne S. ↓, Hobson B. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Daly M. ↓, Miley J. ↑,
58', Charman L. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
72', Francis J. ↓, Walker B. ↑,
72', Topalloj B. ↓, Oliver V. ↑,
74', Kouogun M. 🟨,
78', Benn J. ↓, Ferguson N. ↑,
83', Brown Z. ↓, Okafor M. ↑,
87', Lowe M. ↓, Waldron D. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Hartlepool could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hartlepool won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English National League
06.09.25	Forest Green Rovers - Hartlepool United	1:0 ✺
03.09.25	Hartlepool United - Boston United	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Hartlepool United - Boreham Wood	0:0 ✺
25.08.25	Southend United - Hartlepool United	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Hartlepool United - Woking	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTTTW
- Brackley Town
English National League
06.09.25	Aldershot Town - Brackley Town	2:2 ✺
03.09.25	Brackley Town - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Brackley Town - Scunthorpe United	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Tamworth - Brackley Town	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Brackley Town - Rochdale	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
15.10.24	Brackley Town - Hartlepool United	3:1
12.10.24	Hartlepool United - Brackley Town	1:1
19.10.19	Hartlepool United - Brackley Town	1:0

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