Match Info

National League - Round 7

Date: 3 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: St James Park (Brackley)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Brackley Town		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.05
	2.9	3.25	2.1
	3.2	3.4	2.08
	3.48	3.5	2.09
	3.71	2.97	2.13	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.45
	3.41	3.48	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.93)	3.3 ↓ (3.43)	2.14 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brackley Town
28.6%

Draw
28.1%

Carlisle United
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

27%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

26%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brackley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	36.8%	26.3%

Brackley Town - Carlisle United Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Brackley will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Carlisle will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brackley: 15.1% – 58.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Brackley (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Carlisle (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maxted J. (G) 23. Byrne S. 3. Calder R. 6. Dean G. 19. Lilly Z. 11. Lowe M. 5. Morrison K. 7. Pollock S. 4. Price J. 10. Roberts M. 14. Waldron D.	1. Breeze G. (G) 2. Davies A. 18. Ellis J. 20. Gilliead A. 3. Harper C. 9. Kelly G. 10. Linney R. 37. Macadam H. 26. Mugabi B. 4. Thomas T. (C) 16. Wearne S.
Substitutes
8. Brown Z. 21. Gregory C. (G) 27. Hall C. 37. Haynes R. 15. Hobson B. 2. Lyttle T.	7. Ajiboye D. 29. Armstrong L. 24. Grant J. 6. Hayden A. 25. Lewis H. (G) 15. Murray S. 8. Whelan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Kelly G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Lilly Z. 🟨,
66', Maxted J. 🟨,
70', Waldron D. ↓, Hall C. ↑,
70', Pollock S. ↓, Lyttle T. ↑,
71', Gilliead A. ↓, Armstrong L. ↑,
75', Price J. ↓, Brown Z. ↑,
78', Roberts M. 🟨,
79', 0 - 1, Linney R. ⚽, Wearne S. (A),
80', Roberts M. ↓, Hobson B. ↑,
82', Wearne S. ↓, Grant J. ↑,
90+2', Thomas T. ↓, Hayden A. ↑,
90+2', Linney R. ↓, Whelan C. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Brackley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brackley Town
English National League
30.08.25	Brackley Town - Scunthorpe United	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Tamworth - Brackley Town	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Brackley Town - Rochdale	2:1 ✺
20.08.25	Yeovil Town - Brackley Town	2:1 ✺
English National League Cup
12.08.25	Brackley Town - Blackburn Rovers U21	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TTWLW
- Carlisle United
English National League
30.08.25	Sutton United - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Carlisle United - Braintree Town	5:0 ✺
23.08.25	Wealdstone - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
19.08.25	Carlisle United - Solihull Moors	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Carlisle United - Boreham Wood	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWTT

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