Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Hartlepool United		Chester

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.75	3.3
	1.85	4.14	3.31
	1.95	3.6	3.1
	1.99	3.82	3.18	Watch
	1.98	3.65	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.12)	3.79 ↑ (3.6)	3.22 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
47.2%

Draw
24.2%

Chester
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

25.2%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

26%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hartlepool United - Chester Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Recent matches Hartlepool is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chester is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hartlepool could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hartlepool will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Hartlepool won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English National League
07.10.23	Hartlepool United - Eastleigh	3:1 ✺
04.10.23	Boreham Wood - Hartlepool United	1:0 ✺
30.09.23	Hartlepool United - Dorking Wanderers	0:2 ✺
26.09.23	Hartlepool United - Solihull Moors	0:2 ✺
23.09.23	Dagenham & Redbridge - Hartlepool United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLLW
- Chester City
English National League North
07.10.23	Chester - Peterborough Sports	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Chester - Nantwich Town	2:1 ✺
English National League North
23.09.23	Boston United - Chester	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
16.09.23	Tadcaster Albion - Chester	1:3 ✺
English National League North
09.09.23	Chester - Blyth Spartans	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
23.01.18	Chester - Hartlepool United	1:1
15.08.17	Hartlepool United - Chester	1:1

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