Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 13

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Victoria Park (Hartlepool)


	Hartlepool United		Dorking Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	6
	1.46	4.4	5
	1.5	4.5	5.5
	1.52	4.76	5.46
	1.4	4.6	6
	1.48	4.5	5.45
	1.5	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.73)	4.47 ↑ (3.77)	5.49 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
62.5%

Draw
20.7%

Dorking Wanderers
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

24.4%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

25.3%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hartlepool United's performance.

Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dorking Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartlepool United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Hartlepool United - Dorking Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: Hartlepool United will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Jameson P. (G) 26. Johnson Z. 27. Hendrie L. 23. Onariase E. 3. Ferguson D. (C) 21. Seaman C. 14. Finney O. 22. Crawford T. 19. Aghatise O. 12. Grey J. 20. Dieseruvwe E.	1. Male H. (G) 12. Kennedy C. 37. Francomb G. 15. Cook J. 4. Pybus D. 8. Briggs M. 17. Taylor J. 11. McShane J. 29. Blair T. 20. Gallagher D. 9. Prior J.
Substitutes
18. Burton K. 1. Dixon J. (G) 24. Paterson B. 9. Umerah J. 11. Wreh C.	25. Kuhl A. 28. Lankshear A. 24. Ottaway H. 2. Philpott I. 19. Seager R.

Preview

Hartlepool is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dorking is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Hartlepool is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English National League
26.09.23	Hartlepool United - Solihull Moors	0:2 ✺
23.09.23	Dagenham & Redbridge - Hartlepool United	0:1 ✺
19.09.23	Altrincham - Hartlepool United	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Hartlepool United - Woking	0:2 ✺
09.09.23	Oxford City - Hartlepool United	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTLL
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League
26.09.23	Ebbsfleet United - Dorking Wanderers	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Dorking Wanderers - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
19.09.23	Dorking Wanderers - Wealdstone	3:1 ✺
16.09.23	Halifax Town - Dorking Wanderers	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	Oldham Athletic - Dorking Wanderers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WLWWT

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