Match Info

National League - Round 23

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Rare Breed Meat Co. Stadium (Braintree)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Braintree Town		Hartlepool United

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.3	2.05
	3.25	3.3	1.93
	3.25	3.35	2.1
	3.77	3.3	2.04
	3.34	3.56	2.04	Watch
	3.2	3.25	2.05
	3.29	3.25	2.05
	3.4	3.4	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.32)	3.34 ↑ (3.22)	2.04 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braintree Town
27.5%

Draw
27.5%

Hartlepool United
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

28.3%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

28%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Braintree Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Braintree Town - Hartlepool United Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Braintree will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Hartlepool will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braintree: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Braintree (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Terry M. (G) 4. Langston G. 21. Drake B. 2. Francis-Clarke A. 33. Logan C. 6. Vennings J. 8. Dudziak H. 39. Thorpe E. 11. Cooper C. 38. Works T. 18. Kamara S.	12. Evans G. (G) 2. Benn J. 5. Kouogun M. 4. Parkes T. 3. John C. 14. Sheron N. 35. Nathaniel-George A. 10. Campbell A. 18. Miley J. 28. Daly M. 19. Reid A.
Substitutes
14. Akinde J. 10. Emmanuel-Thomas J. 19. Hockey F. 20. Hubbard F. 5. Omrore M. 9. Walker L.	24. Brown P. 11. Charman L. 22. Darcy C. 8. Ferguson N. 15. Hunter J. 9. Johnson D. 40. Smith A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Daly M. ↓, Brown P. ↑,
59', Nathaniel-George A. ↓, Hunter J. ↑,
62', Thorpe E. ↓, Hockey F. ↑,
81', Kamara S. ↓, Emmanuel-Thomas J. ↑,
81', Cooper C. ↓, Akinde J. ↑,
81', Sheron N. ↓, Charman L. ↑,
87', Campbell A. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
89', Works T. ↓, Walker L. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 8).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Hartlepool has had a series of home games.

Hartlepool is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braintree won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Braintree won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Braintree Town - the odds 3.32 are the expected chance of winning is 27.46%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Hartlepool United - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.22%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braintree Town
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Ebbsfleet United - Braintree Town	3:1 ✺
English National League
06.12.25	Halifax Town - Braintree Town	4:0 ✺
29.11.25	Braintree Town - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
English National League Cup
25.11.25	Braintree Town - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	3:2 ✺
English National League
22.11.25	Scunthorpe United - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLWWT
- Hartlepool United
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Hartlepool United - Anstey Nomads	1:2 ✺
English National League
06.12.25	Hartlepool United - Yeovil Town	0:2 ✺
29.11.25	Hartlepool United - Truro City	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Eastleigh - Hartlepool United	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Hartlepool United - Wealdstone	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
16.08.25	Hartlepool United - Braintree Town	2:0
01.02.25	Braintree Town - Hartlepool United	1:1
31.08.24	Hartlepool United - Braintree Town	0:0
26.01.19	Hartlepool United - Braintree Town	2:1
14.08.18	Braintree Town - Hartlepool United	1:1

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