The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hartlepool United 35.6%
Draw 31.2%
Tranmere Rovers 33.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.5%
29.7%
30.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.2%
30.2%
30.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
17.4%
39.1%
43.5%
Hartlepool United - Tranmere Rovers Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Tranmere will win (votes: 10 - 43.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 39.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tranmere: 23.2% – 63.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Hartlepool has the most likely position - 24 (23.32%), has project points - 44, has currently - 1, has a chance of relegated (38%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Tranmere has the most likely position - 8 (5.6%), has project points - 66, has currently - 3, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (22%), has a chance of promoted (18%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
This event has very small quality8, importance33, small match rating20. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 2.
Hartlepool is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Tranmere is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Hartlepool won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
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