Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 20

Date: 28 November 2023, Tuesday


	Mansfield Town		Tranmere Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	8.5
	1.35	5	8
	1.35	5	8.5
	1.36	5.3	8.39
	1.37	5.3	8.39
	1.33	5	8
	1.35	5.05	8.1	Watch
	1.34	4.9	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.33)	5.07 ↑ (4.83)	8.19 ↓ (8.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mansfield Town
69.9%

Draw
18.6%

Tranmere Rovers
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

19.2%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

16.3%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mansfield Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Mansfield Town - Tranmere Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: Mansfield Town will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pym C. (G) 9. Bowery J. 14. Flint A. (C) 24. Brunt L. 11. MacDonald C. 25. Reed L. 15. Lewis A. 16. Quinn S. 40. Keillor-Dunn D. 7. Akins L. 18. Oates R.	1. McGee L. (G) 2. O'Connor L. 5. Davies T. (C) 6. Turnbull J. 27. Wood C. 25. Apter R. 4. Walker B. 8. Hendry R. 7. Morris K. 12. Jolley C. 19. Saunders H.
Substitutes
6. Cargill B. 8. Clarke O. 13. Flinders S. (G) 2. Johnson C. 10. Maris G. 26. Swan W. 22. Williams G.	30. Belehouan J. 11. Hawkes J. 3. Leake J. 23. McAlear R. 29. Robson C. (G) 20. Taylor S. 21. Yarney J.
Coaches
Clough N.	Adkins N.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 22).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Mansfield could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mansfield is indisputable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Mansfield won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mansfield Town
English League Two
25.11.23	Swindon Town - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
21.11.23	Burton Albion - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
English League Two
18.11.23	Mansfield Town - Newport County	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Salford City - Mansfield Town	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.11.23	Mansfield Town - Everton U21	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWWL
- Tranmere Rovers
English League Two
25.11.23	Tranmere Rovers - Gillingham	3:1 ✺
18.11.23	Sutton United - Tranmere Rovers	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
14.11.23	Tranmere Rovers - Wigan Athletic	0:1 penalties ✺
English League Two
11.11.23	Tranmere Rovers - Forest Green Rovers	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Stevenage Borough - Tranmere Rovers	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
18.02.23	Tranmere Rovers - Mansfield Town	0:2
06.08.22	Mansfield Town - Tranmere Rovers	1:0
11.03.22	Tranmere Rovers - Mansfield Town	3:2
30.10.21	Mansfield Town - Tranmere Rovers	2:0
27.03.21	Tranmere Rovers - Mansfield Town	1:1
12.09.20	Mansfield Town - Tranmere Rovers	0:0
26.01.19	Mansfield Town - Tranmere Rovers	3:0

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