Match Info

Date: 13 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Sixfields Stadium (Northampton)

Referee: Gill S. (Eng)


	Northampton Town		Hartlepool United

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	5
	1.78	3.4	4.5
	1.7	3.5	5
	1.77	3.45	4.4
	1.8	3.61	4.93
	1.75	3.5	4.75
	1.8	3.68	4.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.81)	3.52 ↓ (3.6)	4.77 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northampton Town
53.4%

Draw
26.8%

Hartlepool United
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.1%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	10.5%	21.1%

Northampton Town - Hartlepool United Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Hartlepool will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Northampton has the most likely position - 2 (7.95%), has project points - 73, has currently - 4, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (26%), has a chance of promoted (30%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

Hartlepool has the most likely position - 24 (22.79%), has project points - 44, has currently - 1, has a chance of relegated (36%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has very small quality 8, importance 37, small match rating 23. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Northampton won 2.

The competitors look crappy now.

Hartlepool could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Northampton have a series of home games.

In this match Northampton is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Northampton won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northampton Town
English League Cup
09.08.22	Northampton Town - Wycombe Wanderers	1:2 ✺
English League Two
06.08.22	Grimsby Town - Northampton Town	1:1 ✺
30.07.22	Northampton Town - Colchester United	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.22	Northampton Town - Luton Town	1:2 ✺
13.07.22	Northampton Town - West Bromwich Albion	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTWLL
- Hartlepool United
English League Cup
10.08.22	Blackburn Rovers - Hartlepool United	4:0 ✺
English League Two
06.08.22	Hartlepool United - AFC Wimbledon	0:0 ✺
30.07.22	Walsall - Hartlepool United	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.22	Hartlepool United - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
20.07.22	Hartlepool United - Blackburn Rovers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
26.03.22	Northampton Town - Hartlepool United	2:0
09.10.21	Hartlepool United - Northampton Town	2:1
27.02.16	Hartlepool United - Northampton Town	0:0
10.10.15	Northampton Town - Hartlepool United	2:1
10.02.15	Hartlepool United - Northampton Town	1:0
16.09.14	Northampton Town - Hartlepool United	5:1
22.02.14	Northampton Town - Hartlepool United	2:0

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