Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 26

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Canvey Island		Lewes

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.65	2.4
	2.38	3.9	2.44	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.38
	2.4	3.6	2.39
	2.42	3.75	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.69)	3.66 ↓ (3.68)	2.41 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canvey Island
37.8%

Draw
24.7%

Lewes
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

25%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

23.9%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canvey Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Lewes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canvey Island than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Canvey Island that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lewes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Canvey Island - Lewes Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Lewes (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lewes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Allen A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canvey Island won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Lewes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Canvey Island won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Canvey Island won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 2.3:1.8).

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Lewes: 4.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Lewes	10	6	1	3	15:11	4	19

Last Results with these Odds

Lewes - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.85%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canvey Island
English Isthmian League Premier Division
02.01.26	Aveley - Canvey Island	3:1 ✺
27.12.25	Canvey Island - Billericay Town	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Folkestone Invicta - Canvey Island	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Hashtag United - Canvey Island	4:0 ✺
02.12.25	Canvey Island - Whitehawk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLLW
- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
03.01.26	Burgess Hill Town - Lewes	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Lewes - Welling United	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Dulwich Hamlet - Lewes	1:4 ✺
06.12.25	Lewes - Dartford	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Hashtag United - Lewes	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.03.25	Canvey Island - Lewes	4:0
30.11.24	Lewes - Canvey Island	2:1
09.04.24	Canvey Island - Lewes	0:2
02.03.24	Lewes - Canvey Island	2:2
22.04.23	Canvey Island - Lewes	1:3
21.03.23	Lewes - Canvey Island	0:2
27.02.16	Canvey Island - Lewes	5:2

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