Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 26

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Haugesund Stadion (Haugesund)

Referee: Hagenes K. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play
World	Onefootball


	Haugesund		Tromsø

	1	X	2
	10	5	1.3	Watch
	9.6	5.35	1.3	Watch
	9.38	5.6	1.32
	7.72	4.96	1.38	Watch
	10.2	5.08	1.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.38 ↑ (7.72)	5.2 ↑ (4.96)	1.32 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haugesund
10.1%

Draw
18.2%

Tromsø
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.3%

19.1%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8%

18.4%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haugesund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Tromsø has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haugesund than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Haugesund - Tromsø Predictions

Users Predictions: Tromsø will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Fauskanger E. (G) 2. Niyukuri C. 15. Bjornbak M. 33. Koskela M. 3. Hamalainen N. 6. Bizoza P. 8. Hannola P. 10. Nyhammer T. 16. Leite B. (C) 7. Rohd E. 29. Diarra S.	1. Haugaard J. (G) 4. Skjaervik V. 21. Guddal T. 25. Kinteh A. S. 2. Cornic L. 20. Edvardsson D. 11. Jenssen R. (C) 6. Hjerto-Dahl J. 29. Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. 18. Braut D. 9. Ieltsin Camoes
Substitutes
30. Camara I. 55. Dia M. 4. Fischer M. 25. Hope M. 46. Jakobsen F. A. 1. Wichne A. (G)	15. Erlien V. 23. Husebo J. 37. Innvaer S. 5. Jenssen A. 7. Larsen L. O. 27. Lauvli O. (G) 17. Mikkelsen A. 14. Prestmo S. 30. Vadebu I.
Coaches
Korkeakunnas T.	Vik J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Ieltsin Camoes (Pen),
23', 1 - 1, Rohd E. ⚽,
35', Koskela M. 🟨,
36', 1 - 2, Cornic L. ⚽, Braut D. (A),
43', 2 - 2, Hamalainen N. ⚽, Diarra S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 2 - 3, Cornic L. ⚽, Guddal T. (A),
61', Skjaervik V. 🟨,
66', Ieltsin Camoes ↓, Larsen L. O. ↑,
72', Hannola P. 🟨,
75', Hjerto-Dahl J. 🟨,
76', Bizoza P. 🟨,
81', Braut D. ↓, Erlien V. ↑,
81', Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. ↓, Vadebu I. ↑,
83', Niyukuri C. ↓, Hope M. ↑,
83', Leite B. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
85', Skjaervik V. ↓, Husebo J. ↑,
90', Rohd E. ↓, Jakobsen F. A. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haugesund won 2.

Haugesund has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tromsø has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Haugesund may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tromsø is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Haugesund: Espejord R. (Thigh Injury) Samuelsen M. (Hip Injury) Solheim V. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Haugesund: Kukleci I. (Injury)

We predict that Tromsø will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Haugesund won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:21. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Haugesund won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:6. (average 1.9:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Haugesund
Norwegian Eliteserien
18.10.25	Brann - Haugesund	4:1 ✺
05.10.25	Bodø Glimt - Haugesund	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Haugesund - Sandefjord	2:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.09.25	Haugesund - Rosenborg	1:4 ET ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.09.25	Kristiansund - Haugesund	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Tromsø IL
Norwegian Eliteserien
19.10.25	Tromsø - Viking Stavanger	1:3 ✺
04.10.25	Vålerenga - Tromsø	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Tromsø - Strømsgodset	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Tromsø - Hamarkameratene	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Bryne - Tromsø	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
30.03.25	Tromsø - Haugesund	1:0
10.11.24	Haugesund - Tromsø	2:0
14.04.24	Tromsø - Haugesund	0:1
26.11.23	Tromsø - Haugesund	2:1
29.05.23	Haugesund - Tromsø	1:2
04.09.22	Haugesund - Tromsø	2:1
19.06.22	Tromsø - Haugesund	1:1

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