Match Info

NM Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Haugesund Stadion (Haugesund)


	Haugesund		Rosenborg

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.5	1.36
	7.9	4.95	1.35
	7.8	4.92	1.39
	5.32	3.32	1.71	Watch
	7.8	4.7	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.06 ↓ (7.4)	4.48 ↓ (4.95)	1.44 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haugesund
13.4%

Draw
21.1%

Rosenborg
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.7%

18.9%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12%

17.9%

72.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haugesund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Rosenborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haugesund than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosenborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Haugesund - Rosenborg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wichne A. (G) 2. Niyukuri C. 15. Bjornbak M. 55. Dia M. 3. Hamalainen N. 40. Grindhaug A. 8. Hannola P. 10. Nyhammer T. 16. Leite B. (C) 25. Hope M. 29. Diarra S.	1. Tangvik S. (G) 2. Reitan E. (C) 50. Volden H. 21. Nemcik T. 19. Pereira A. 5. Zeidan M. 8. Fossum I. 7. Nordli S. 29. Duris D. 39. Islamovic D. 45. Reitan-Sunde J.
Substitutes
6. Bizoza P. 30. Camara I. 43. Eide L. 46. Jakobsen F. A. 17. Karlsen H. V. 33. Koskela M. 32. Stople F. (G)	43. Borgersen A. 35. Ceide E. K. 38. Ceide M. K. 15. Mortensen J. 9. Saeter O. 12. Sandberg R. (G) 10. Selnaes O. 6. Vaananen S. 16. Witry A. F.
Coaches
Korkeakunnas T.	Johansson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Dia M. 🟨,
38', Diarra S. ↓, Karlsen H. V. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bjornbak M. ↓, Koskela M. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Grindhaug A. ⚽, Hope M. (A),
62', Hannola P. 🟨,
62', Zeidan M. ↓, Selnaes O. ↑,
68', Leite B. ↓, Bizoza P. ↑,
70', Pereira A. ↓, Witry A. F. ↑,
71', Duris D. ↓, Saeter O. ↑,
74', Volden H. ↓, Ceide M. K. ↑,
90+2', Karlsen H. V. ↓, Eide L. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Islamovic D. ⚽, Ceide E. K. (A),
90+4', Selnaes O. 🟨,
90+6', Nyhammer T. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 3)
94', 1 - 2, Reitan E. ⚽, Ceide E. K. (A),
98', 1 - 3, Reitan E. ⚽,
99', Reitan E. ↓, Vaananen S. ↑,
107', 1 - 4, Islamovic D. ⚽, Ceide E. K. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haugesund won 0.

Haugesund has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rosenborg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Rosenborg is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Haugesund won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:24. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Haugesund won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Haugesund
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.09.25	Kristiansund - Haugesund	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Haugesund - Rosenborg	0:3 ✺
31.08.25	Fredrikstad - Haugesund	2:2 ✺
24.08.25	Haugesund - Vålerenga	2:3 ✺
10.08.25	Haugesund - Sarpsborg 08	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LLTLW
- Rosenborg BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.09.25	Rosenborg - Bodø Glimt	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Haugesund - Rosenborg	0:3 ✺
31.08.25	Viking Stavanger - Rosenborg	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	Mainz - Rosenborg	4:1 ✺
21.08.25	Rosenborg - Mainz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
14.09.25	Haugesund - Rosenborg	0:3
16.05.25	Rosenborg - Haugesund	1:0
22.09.24	Rosenborg - Haugesund	4:0
21.04.24	Haugesund - Rosenborg	1:3
06.08.23	Haugesund - Rosenborg	1:2
16.05.23	Rosenborg - Haugesund	1:0
Club Friendly
26.03.23	Rosenborg - Haugesund	0:0

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