Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 22

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Kristiansund Stadion (Kristiansund)

Referee: Sinnes S. T. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play
World	Onefootball


	Kristiansund		Haugesund

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.25	8	Watch
	1.34	5.35	7.8
	1.37	5.64	7.77
	1.26	5.92	10.09	Watch
	1.38	5.29	7.45	Watch
	1.48	4.3	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.5)	5.29 ↑ (4.69)	7.73 ↑ (5.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kristiansund
69.7%

Draw
18%

Haugesund
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

20.3%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

19.5%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kristiansund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kristiansund's performance.

Haugesund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristiansund than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kristiansund that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haugesund than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Kristiansund - Haugesund Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kristiansund (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Haugesund (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Kristiansund will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kristiansund (votes: 1 - 50%). Haugesund (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Saether A. (G) 22. Hoffmann I. 4. Olsen M. 5. Ulvestad D. 15. Rakneberg M. 20. Igor W. 16. Tufekcic D. 18. Odegard N. 8. Sletsjoe H. 9. Kilen S. 7. Isah M.	12. Fauskanger E. (G) 33. Koskela M. 5. Kukleci I. 15. Bjornbak M. 36. Helgeland E. 43. Eide L. 40. Grindhaug A. 6. Bizoza P. 30. Camara I. 29. Diarra S. 10. Nyhammer T.
Substitutes
19. Alvheim L. 2. Borset A. 10. Corlu R. 3. Flex F. 21. Jelicic I. 25. Ndour A. 27. Ronning A. 6. Skeide S. 26. Skjaerstein A. (G)	4. Fischer M. 8. Hannola P. 25. Hope M. 16. Leite B. 2. Niyukuri C. 7. Rohd E. 1. Wichne A. (G)
Coaches
Skiri A.	Korkeakunnas T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Isah M. ⚽, Sletsjoe H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Camara I. ↓, Hope M. ↑,
46', Nyhammer T. ↓, Hannola P. ↑,
46', Bjornbak M. ↓, Niyukuri C. ↑,
57', Grindhaug A. 🟨,
60', Kukleci I. ↓, Leite B. ↑,
65', Kilen S. 🟨,
68', Isah M. ↓, Ndour A. ↑,
69', Odegard N. ↓, Corlu R. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Corlu R. ⚽, Igor W. (A),
72', Diarra S. ↓, Rohd E. ↑,
78', Rakneberg M. 🟨,
82', Kilen S. ↓, Alvheim L. ↑,
82', Tufekcic D. ↓, Ronning A. ↑,
82', Sletsjoe H. ↓, Skeide S. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kristiansund won 0.

Kristiansund has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Haugesund's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Haugesund may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kristiansund is the team to beat.

There will not play in Kristiansund: Lansing M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Haugesund: Bondhus A. (Broken collarbone) Samuelsen M. (Hip Injury) Solheim V. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Haugesund: Espejord R. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Kristiansund won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:28. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Kristiansund won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.6:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kristiansund BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
12.09.25	Bodø Glimt - Kristiansund	7:1 ✺
31.08.25	Kristiansund - Brann	2:2 ✺
25.08.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Kristiansund	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	Kristiansund - Sandefjord	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	Kristiansund - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LTWTL
- FK Haugesund
Norwegian Eliteserien
14.09.25	Haugesund - Rosenborg	0:3 ✺
31.08.25	Fredrikstad - Haugesund	2:2 ✺
24.08.25	Haugesund - Vålerenga	2:3 ✺
10.08.25	Haugesund - Sarpsborg 08	3:2 ✺
03.08.25	Strømsgodset - Haugesund	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
29.06.25	Haugesund - Kristiansund	0:0
01.09.24	Kristiansund - Haugesund	2:2
16.05.24	Haugesund - Kristiansund	1:0
16.10.22	Kristiansund - Haugesund	0:1
08.05.22	Haugesund - Kristiansund	2:0
Club Friendly
16.03.22	Haugesund - Kristiansund	1:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
18.09.21	Kristiansund - Haugesund	3:2

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