Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 29

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium (Tehran)


	Havadar		Sepahan

	1	X	2
	7.25	3.6	1.47
	8.8	4.5	1.34
	9.36	4.4	1.33
	9.55	4.06	1.36	Watch
	9.61	3.84	1.42
	8.8	4.5	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.9 ↓ (9)	4.15 ↑ (3.2)	1.38 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Havadar
10.4%

Draw
22.3%

Sepahan
67.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.3%

29%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10%

28.2%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Havadar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Sepahan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sepahan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havadar than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sepahan than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Havadar - Sepahan Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Havadar will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Sepahan will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sepahan: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sepahan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Shakouri A. (G) 44. Sattari M. 6. Mohebi S. 13. Mahdavi M. 5. Saeed Sadeghi 4. Haghdoost M. 21. Zavari M. 8. Masoumi M. E. 10. Mamizadeh M. 99. Eslami K. 45. Sadeghi M. H.	1. Niazmand P. (G) 66. Khanonov V. 55. Hazbavi M. 58. Daneshgar M. 21. Goudarzi H. 16. Bordbar M. 18. Zakipour M. 12. Ben Yedder W. 15. N'Zonzi S. 10. Shekari R. 23. Mohebi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Eslami K. ⚽, Mahdavi M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Shekari R. ↓, Rezaei K. ↑,
62', 🟨,
72', 1 - 1, Rezaei K. ⚽,
76', Ben Yedder W. ↓, Kamara A. ↑,
77', Sadeghi M. H. ↓, Rahmani E. ↑,
77', Zavari M. ↓, Daryabari M. ↑,
79', 🟨,
84', Mahdavi M. ↓, Mansouri M. ↑,
85', Goudarzi H. ↓, Shafiedoost A. ↑,
87', 🟨,
90', Mohebi S. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Havadar won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sepahan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sepahan is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Havadar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:17. (average 0.3:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Havadar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Havadar SC
Iran Pro League
01.05.25	Nassaji Mazandaran - Havadar	0:0 ✺
21.04.25	Esteghlal - Havadar	2:2 ✺
16.04.25	Havadar - Mes Rafsanjan	0:4 ✺
11.04.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Havadar	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Havadar - Malavan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.8 TTLTW
- Sepahan FC
Iran Pro League
02.05.25	Sepahan - Gol Gohar Sirjan	1:2 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
26.04.25	Malavan - Sepahan	1:0 penalties ✺
Iran Pro League
18.04.25	Persepolis - Sepahan	0:2 ✺
11.04.25	Sepahan - Mes Rafsanjan	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Aluminium Arak - Sepahan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
27.12.24	Sepahan - Havadar	5:0
24.05.24	Sepahan - Havadar	2:0
19.12.23	Havadar - Sepahan	0:5
05.03.23	Sepahan - Havadar	3:1
02.10.22	Havadar - Sepahan	1:2
18.02.22	Havadar - Sepahan	0:0

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