Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 25

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium (Tehran)


	Havadar		Malavan

	1	X	2
	5	3	1.75
	4.6	3.1	1.86
	4.42	3.12	1.85	Watch
	4.68	3.02	1.91	Watch
	4.6	3.1	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↓ (6.09)	3.07 ↓ (3.39)	1.85 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Havadar
19.8%

Draw
30.1%

Malavan
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

27.2%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

26.6%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Havadar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Malavan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Malavan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havadar than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malavan than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Malavan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Havadar - Malavan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Shakouri A. (G) 23. Millar M. 66. Khodaei M. 44. Sattari M. 6. Mohebi S. 11. Shojaeian D. 21. Zavari M. 4. Haghdoost M. 8. Masoumi M. E. 98. Dindari M. 26. Champness J.	33. Farabbasi H. (G) 3. Barzayi B. 91. Fallah S. 24. Eiri D. 4. Afsordeh A. 86. Jafari F. 88. Eslamikhah G. 28. Entezari N. 6. Noorafkan O. 17. Ghandipour R. 11. Jafari R.
Substitutes
. Daryabari M. . Eslami K. . Kia M. (G) . Mahdavi M. . Mamizadeh M. . Mehraban H. . Rahmani E. . Rahmati K. . Sadeghi M. H. . Tahmasebi M.	. Abdi M. . Bagheri M. . Karimi S. . Ramezani A. . Sabet Imani G. . Sadeghi H. . Sadeghi M. . Salmani J. . Sedaghat A. (G) . Touranian S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Millar M. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Shojaeian D. (Pen),
44', Eslamikhah G. 🟥,
45+4', Khodaei M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 🟨,
62', 🟨,
89', 2 - 0, Eslami K. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Havadar won 3.

Recent matches Havadar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Malavan is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Malavan is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Havadar won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:7 (average 1.2:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Havadar won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:1 (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Havadar SC
Iran Pro League
30.03.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Havadar	1:2 ✺
13.03.25	Havadar - Shams Azar Qazvin	2:3 ✺
28.02.25	Havadar - Gol Gohar Sirjan	0:1 ✺
21.02.25	Foolad Khuzestan - Havadar	3:0 ✺
08.02.25	Havadar - Aluminium Arak	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WLLLW
- Malavan
Iran Pro League
30.03.25	Malavan - Mes Rafsanjan	3:0 ✺
14.03.25	Persepolis - Malavan	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	Malavan - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:0 ✺
27.02.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Malavan	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Malavan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
01.11.24	Malavan - Havadar	0:2
06.05.24	Malavan - Havadar	1:1
24.11.23	Havadar - Malavan	0:1
30.03.23	Malavan - Havadar	1:2
14.10.22	Havadar - Malavan	1:0
Iran Division 1
01.06.21	Havadar - Malavan	2:0
18.01.21	Malavan - Havadar	1:1

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