Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 38

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Havant & Waterlooville		Swindon Supermarine

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	5.75
	1.35	5	6.2
	1.4	5.27	6.26
	1.34	4.85	6.83
	1.35	5	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.37)	5.02 ↑ (4.68)	6.25 ↓ (6.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Havant & Waterlooville
67.2%

Draw
18.2%

Swindon Supermarine
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

19.6%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

18.3%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Swindon Supermarine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Havant & Waterlooville - Swindon Supermarine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Kealy C. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Williams H. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, Fernandes M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 2, Seager R. ⚽,
75', 3 - 2, Seager R. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 17).

Havant is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Swindon Supermarine has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Havant is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Havant to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Havant won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Havant won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Havant & Waterlooville
English Southern League South Division
29.03.25	Marlow - Havant & Waterlooville	1:3 ✺
22.03.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Gloucester City	4:0 ✺
15.03.25	Frome Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Sholing	4:1 ✺
04.03.25	Tiverton Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWTWT
- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
29.03.25	Swindon Supermarine - Taunton Town	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Tiverton Town - Swindon Supermarine	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Swindon Supermarine - Wimborne Town	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Merthyr Town - Swindon Supermarine	2:1 ✺
04.03.25	Swindon Supermarine - Walton & Hersham	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
24.08.24	Swindon Supermarine - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1
English FA Cup
27.09.14	Havant & Waterlooville - Swindon Supermarine	3:0

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