Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 36

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	Tiverton Town		Swindon Supermarine

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.3
	2.55	3.55	2.35
	2.6	3.76	2.41
	2.51	3.6	2.31
	2.55	3.55	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.19)	3.59 ↓ (3.63)	2.34 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiverton Town
35.8%

Draw
25.3%

Swindon Supermarine
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

25.2%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

24.5%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiverton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tiverton Town's form might have worsened.

Swindon Supermarine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swindon Supermarine's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tiverton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swindon Supermarine, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tiverton Town - Swindon Supermarine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 1 - 0, Hall A. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tiverton won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Tiverton won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:23 (average 1.3:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Tiverton won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
15.03.25	Winchester City - Tiverton Town	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Tiverton Town - Frome Town	0:0 ✺
04.03.25	Tiverton Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Tiverton Town - Basingstoke Town	0:5 ✺
22.02.25	Walton & Hersham - Tiverton Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTTLL
- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
15.03.25	Swindon Supermarine - Wimborne Town	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Merthyr Town - Swindon Supermarine	2:1 ✺
04.03.25	Swindon Supermarine - Walton & Hersham	0:3 ✺
01.03.25	Marlow - Swindon Supermarine	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Swindon Supermarine - Totton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
12.10.24	Swindon Supermarine - Tiverton Town	4:0
02.03.24	Swindon Supermarine - Tiverton Town	2:2
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Swindon Supermarine - Tiverton Town	3:1
English Southern League South Division
30.09.23	Tiverton Town - Swindon Supermarine	1:1
18.03.23	Swindon Supermarine - Tiverton Town	3:3
15.10.22	Tiverton Town - Swindon Supermarine	1:3
23.04.22	Swindon Supermarine - Tiverton Town	2:0

Tiverton Town - Swindon Supermarine: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide