Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 3

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Bridge Meadow Stadium (Haverfordwest)

Referee: Davies S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play
Wales	Cymru Football TV


	Haverfordwest County		Pen-y-Bont

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.10	2.15
	3.05	3	2.25
	3.26	3.28	2.25
	3.26	2.98	2.37	Watch
	3.3	2.85	2.35
	3.09	3.4	2.22
	3	3.05	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (3.05)	3.09 ↓ (3.34)	2.26 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haverfordwest County
29.5%

Draw
29.8%

Pen-y-Bont
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

27.3%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

26.4%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haverfordwest County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Pen-y-Bont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Haverfordwest County - Pen y Bont Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Haverfordwest will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Pen-y-Bont will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Knott I. (G) 3. Abbruzzese R. 28. Ahmun B. 29. Green C. 10. Hawkins D. 4. Kenniford K. 17. McCarthy K. 14. Phillips B. 8. Shephard C. 18. Walters G. 22. Wilson J.	1. Higgs D. (G) 10. Cann E. 6. Davies M. 19. Hill R. 20. Manga M. 4. Mehew T. 16. Melbourne M. 8. Pritchard O. 32. Shephard L. 12. Vaz E. 7. Wood N.
Substitutes
23. Hughes W. 20. Jones O. 36. Lewis C. 11. Makwiramiti P. 31. Rees L. (G) 27. Thomas H. 25. Walker J.	11. Daley N. 25. Pennock A. (G) 14. Phillips I. 35. Price T. 33. Vaughan E. 9. Venables C. 23. Walker T.
Coaches
Pennock T.	Griffiths R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, Melbourne M. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Wood N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Green C. 🟨,
63', Ahmun B. ↓, Thomas H. ↑,
63', Phillips B. ↓, Hughes W. ↑,
67', 🟨,
70', Pritchard O. ↓, Venables C. ↑,
70', Cann E. ↓, Walker T. ↑,
82', Wood N. ↓, Daley N. ↑,
89', 0 - 3, Daley N. ⚽,
90+1', Shephard L. ↓, Vaughan E. ↑,
90+1', McCarthy K. ↓, Makwiramiti P. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haverfordwest won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Haverfordwest won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 13:31. (average 0.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Haverfordwest won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1:1.6).

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

Penybont: 7.42% Haverfordwest: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Penybont	12	8	3	1	22:10	12	27
12	Haverfordwest	12	3	1	8	7:17	-10	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haverfordwest County
Welsh Cymru Premier
07.08.26	The New Saints - Haverfordwest County	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Haverfordwest County - Airbus UK Broughton	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Haverfordwest County - Llanelli	8:0 ✺
18.07.26	Gloucester City - Haverfordwest County	0:1 ✺
04.07.26	Haverfordwest County - Hamilton Academical	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWWL
- Pen-y-Bont FC
Welsh Cymru Premier
07.08.26	Caernarfon Town - Pen-y-Bont	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Pen-y-Bont - The New Saints	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.07.26	FC Santa Coloma - Pen-y-Bont	3:0 ✺
09.07.26	Pen-y-Bont - FC Santa Coloma	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.06.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Pen-y-Bont	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
02.05.26	Pen-y-Bont - Haverfordwest County	2:0
07.10.25	Pen-y-Bont - Haverfordwest County	2:1
08.08.25	Haverfordwest County - Pen-y-Bont	0:1
21.03.25	Haverfordwest County - Pen-y-Bont	1:2
01.02.25	Pen-y-Bont - Haverfordwest County	0:0
03.12.24	Pen-y-Bont - Haverfordwest County	1:0
Welsh League Cup
17.09.24	Pen-y-Bont - Haverfordwest County	1:0

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