Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 1

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Bryntirion Park (Bridgend)

Referee: Markham-Jones B. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play
Wales	Cymru Football TV


	Pen-y-Bont		The New Saints

	1	X	2
	5.00	3.80	1.53
	4.90	3.70	1.55
	5.91	4.24	1.54
	5.55	4.1	1.56	Watch
	5.85	4.05	1.51
	5.18	4.04	1.59
	5.20	3.95	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.37 ↑ (4.31)	3.98 ↓ (4.01)	1.54 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pen-y-Bont
17.2%

Draw
23.1%

The New Saints
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

23.3%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pen-y-Bont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

The New Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Pen y Bont - The New Saints Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. TNS will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. TNS (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Higgs D. (G) 10. Cann E. 6. Davies M. 19. Hill R. 24. Manga M. 4. Mehew T. 16. Melbourne M. 8. Pritchard O. 32. Shephard L. 33. Vaughan E. 7. Wood N.	1. Shepperd N. (G) 6. Bodenham J. 4. Corness D. 22. Davies D. 15. Farrell E. 18. Holden R. 20. Hughes R. 10. Redmond D. (C) 16. Simeu D. 21. Smith L. 17. Williams J.
Substitutes
15. Clay J. 11. Daley N. 55. Mashlan J. 25. Pennock A. (G) 9. Venables C. 72. Villacorta J. 23. Walker T.	12. Godsmark-Ford H. 37. Jefferies I. 34. Lock J. 40. McCue E. 23. Nolan Z. 28. Wilson B.
Coaches
Griffiths R.	Harrison C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Holden R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Holden R. ↓, Jefferies I. ↑,
51', Jefferies I. 🟨,
66', Wood N. ↓, Clay J. ↑,
66', Hill R. ↓, Walker T. ↑,
76', Manga M. ↓, Venables C. ↑,
76', Cann E. ↓, Daley N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 1.

TNS's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pen-y-Bont may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, TNS is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 21:52. (average 1.1:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Pen-y-Bont won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1:2).

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

TNS: 75.6% Penybont: 7.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	TNS	12	11	1	0	38:5	33	34
3	Penybont	12	8	3	1	22:10	12	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pen-y-Bont FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.07.26	FC Santa Coloma - Pen-y-Bont	3:0 ✺
09.07.26	Pen-y-Bont - FC Santa Coloma	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.06.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Pen-y-Bont	0:3 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
02.05.26	Pen-y-Bont - Haverfordwest County	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Colwyn Bay - Pen-y-Bont	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWWW
- The New Saints
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	The New Saints - Flora Tallinn	1:1 penalties ✺
23.07.26	Flora Tallinn - The New Saints	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.07.26	The New Saints - Sabah	1:2 ✺
07.07.26	Sabah - The New Saints	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.06.26	Harland & Wolff Welders - The New Saints	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
14.03.26	Pen-y-Bont - The New Saints	1:2
07.02.26	The New Saints - Pen-y-Bont	6:0
11.10.25	The New Saints - Pen-y-Bont	6:2
16.08.25	Pen-y-Bont - The New Saints	0:2
29.03.25	Pen-y-Bont - The New Saints	1:0
08.02.25	The New Saints - Pen-y-Bont	4:0
23.11.24	The New Saints - Pen-y-Bont	3:2

Upcoming Matches