Match Info

Premier League - Round 29

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Ethiopia Bunna		Welwalo Adigrat

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.7	3.25
	2.28	2.68	3.4
	2.33	2.56	3.66
	2.34	2.59	3.66	Watch
	2.3	2.5	3.25
	2.29	2.57	3.64
	1.94	2.95	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.01)	2.65 ↓ (2.96)	3.54 ↓ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopia Bunna
40.3%

Draw
34.1%

Welwalo Adigrat
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

30.8%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

29.5%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopia Bunna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ethiopia Bunna's form might have worsened.

Welwalo Adigrat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Bunna than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ethiopia Bunna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welwalo Adigrat than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Ethiopia Bunna - Welwalo Adigrat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Konkoni H. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Abubakar A. ⚽,
12', 2 - 1, Birhanu B. ⚽,
38', 2 - 2, Kebede Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 2 - 3, Beyene B. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 4, Haflz K. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Bunna won 1.

Ethiopia Bunna is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Welwalo Adigrat's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ethiopia Bunna will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Bunna won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 0.9:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ethiopia Bunna won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ethiopia Bunna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Welwalo Adigrat	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopia Bunna
Ethiopian Premier League
26.04.26	Saint George - Ethiopia Bunna	1:3 ✺
19.04.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Arba Minch	1:1 ✺
14.04.26	Hadiya Hossana - Ethiopia Bunna	2:2 ✺
08.04.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Sheger Ketema	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Ethiopia Bunna	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTTTW
- Welwalo Adigrat University FC
Ethiopian Cup
23.04.26	Mechal - Welwalo Adigrat	0:1 penalties ✺
Ethiopian Premier League
18.04.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Welwalo Adigrat	1:0 ✺
09.04.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Welayta Dicha	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Hawassa City - Welwalo Adigrat	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
20.12.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopia Bunna	1:1
29.05.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0
10.12.24	Ethiopia Bunna - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0
26.01.20	Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopia Bunna	1:1
31.03.19	Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopia Bunna	0:1
26.12.18	Ethiopia Bunna - Welwalo Adigrat	1:0
16.04.18	Ethiopia Bunna - Welwalo Adigrat	2:1

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