Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Hawassa City		Mechal

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.82	2.28
	3.19	2.73	2.38
	3.23	2.79	2.39	Watch
	3	2.8	2.3
	3.05	3.05	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.71)	2.84 ↓ (2.86)	2.35 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hawassa City
29.2%

Draw
32.1%

Mechal
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

32.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

33.2%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawassa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Mechal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawassa City than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mechal than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Hawassa City - Mechal Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hawassa City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Cujo C. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 1 - 1, Kebede G. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 6).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hawassa City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Hawassa City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawassa City SC
Ethiopian Premier League
01.12.25	Shire Endaselassie - Hawassa City	1:0 ✺
26.11.25	Hawassa City - Fasil Kenema	0:1 ✺
21.11.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Hawassa City	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Hawassa City - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1 ✺
04.11.25	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Hawassa City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWTW
- Mechal SC
Ethiopian Premier League
02.12.25	Mechal - Dire Dawa City	1:1 ✺
26.11.25	Mechal - Sidama Coffee	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Shire Endaselassie - Mechal	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Mechal - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
04.11.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Mechal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
31.05.25	Mechal - Hawassa City	1:3
30.01.25	Hawassa City - Mechal	1:0

Hawassa City - Mechal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide