Match Info

Premier League - Round 1

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Hawassa City		Mechal

	1	X	2
	3.10	2.65	2.35
	3.30	2.60	2.33
	3.38	2.60	2.43
	3.35	2.66	2.42	Watch
	3.38	2.81	2.39
	3.25	2.60	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (3.05)	2.65 ↓ (2.88)	2.38 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hawassa City
27.6%

Draw
34.2%

Mechal
38.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.2%

32%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawassa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Mechal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Hawassa City - Mechal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Mechal is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Hawassa City has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 1.3:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hawassa City against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mechal	4	3	0	1	5:2	3	9
14	Hawassa	3	0	2	1	2:3	-1	2

Last Results with these Odds

Mechal - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.87%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawassa City SC
Ethiopian Premier League
02.07.26	Hawassa City - Adama City	2:3 ✺
28.06.26	Ethio Electric - Hawassa City	1:1 ✺
21.06.26	Hawassa City - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0 ✺
15.06.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Hawassa City	2:1 ✺
28.05.26	Hawassa City - Ethiopia Bunna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTTLW
- Mechal SC
Ethiopian Premier League
03.07.26	Mechal - Hadiya Hossana	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Sheger Ketema - Mechal	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Mechal - Ethiopian Medhin	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Saint George - Mechal	3:0 ✺
28.05.26	Mechal - Arba Minch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
19.04.26	Mechal - Hawassa City	0:0
07.12.25	Hawassa City - Mechal	1:1
31.05.25	Mechal - Hawassa City	1:3
30.01.25	Hawassa City - Mechal	1:0

Hawassa City - Mechal