Match Info

Premier League - Round 20

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Hawassa City		Dire Dawa City

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.68	3.65
	2.15	2.5	3.5
	2.27	2.78	3.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.45)	2.65 ↓ (3.3)	3.62 ↓ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hawassa City
41.1%

Draw
34%

Dire Dawa City
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

27.5%

10.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

26.8%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawassa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hawassa City's form might have worsened.

Dire Dawa City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dire Dawa City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawassa City than the current prediction. (+23%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hawassa City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dire Dawa City than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dire Dawa City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hawassa City - Dire Dawa City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Gebra D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawassa City won 3.

Hawassa City is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dire Dawa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Hawassa City is the team to beat.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Hawassa City won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Hawassa City won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Hawassa	38	12	14	12	37:32	5	50
18	Dire Dawa	38	9	15	14	27:41	-14	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawassa City SC
Ethiopian Premier League
06.02.26	Adama City - Hawassa City	0:2 ✺
30.01.26	Hawassa City - Ethio Electric	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Hawassa City	0:0 ✺
21.01.26	Hawassa City - Negele Arsi Ketema	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Hawassa City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWTWT
- Dire Dawa City
Ethiopian Premier League
06.02.26	Arba Minch - Dire Dawa City	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Dire Dawa City - Hadiya Hossana	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Sheger Ketema - Dire Dawa City	0:0 ✺
22.01.26	Dire Dawa City - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Saint George - Dire Dawa City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
18.10.25	Dire Dawa City - Hawassa City	0:2
08.05.25	Dire Dawa City - Hawassa City	0:1
23.11.24	Hawassa City - Dire Dawa City	0:1
15.03.24	Dire Dawa City - Hawassa City	1:3
21.10.23	Hawassa City - Dire Dawa City	0:0
22.04.23	Dire Dawa City - Hawassa City	1:0
24.10.22	Hawassa City - Dire Dawa City	2:2

Hawassa City - Dire Dawa City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide