Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Mehdi Hüseynzadə adına Sumqayıt şəhər stadionu (Sumqayit)

Referee: Al-Hakim M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Australia	Stan Sport
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 15
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Mexico	FOX Sports 3
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	Viaplay
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 16, M+ Liga de Campeones 1, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+


	Dinamo Minsk		Hearts

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.4	2.55
	2.6	3.2	2.45
	2.75	3.3	2.55
	2.78	3.39	2.6
	2.74	3.29	2.52	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.1
	2.83	3.34	2.61
	2.75	3.3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.84)	3.33 ↓ (3.35)	2.49 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Minsk
34.1%

Draw
28.2%

Hearts
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

28%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

24.7%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Minsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dinamo Minsk's performance.

Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hearts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Minsk than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dinamo Minsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.8%	45.8%	8.3%

Dinamo Minsk - Hearts Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Dinamo Minsk will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). Hearts will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 45.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Minsk: 25.9% – 65.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Lapoukhov F. (G) 2. Pigas V. 6. Politevich S. (C) 20. Sachivko A. 66. Rai 29. Amian B. 26. Kalinin V. 88. Demchenko N. 19. Podstrelov D. 9. Alfred S. 11. Zherdev G.	1. Gordon C. (G) 35. Forrester A. 2. Kent F. 15. Rowles K. 29. Penrice J. 14. Devlin C. 6. Baningime B. 16. Spittal B. 17. Forrest A. 9. Shankland L. (C) 10. McKay B.
Substitutes
14. Adeola R. 67. Begunov R. 7. Budko M. 4. Gavrilovich A. 49. Karatai A. (G) 10. Khvashchinskiy V. 24. Kulikov D. 81. Melnichenko T. 3. Okoro J. 25. Pedro Igor 8. Selyava A. 80. Shkolik I.	18. Boateng M. 27. Boyce L. 28. Clark Z. (G) 20. Dhanda Y. 7. Grant J. 4. Halkett C. 3. Kingsley S. 11. Oda Y. 5. Oyegoke D. 80. Salazar A. 25. Tait M. 77. Vargas K.
Coaches
Skripchenko V.	Fox L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Alfred S. ⚽, Rai (A),
30', Rai ↓, Selyava A. ↑,
37', 1 - 1, Politevich S. (Own goal), Rowles K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Zherdev G. ↓, Pedro Igor ↑,
56', Forrest A. ↓, Vargas K. ↑,
71', Devlin C. 🟨,
72', Podstrelov D. ↓, Adeola R. ↑,
72', Demchenko N. ↓, Kulikov D. ↑,
74', McKay B. ↓, Dhanda Y. ↑,
74', Devlin C. ↓, Grant J. ↑,
79', Baningime B. ↓, Tait M. ↑,
85', Alfred S. ↓, Melnichenko T. ↑,
90', Melnichenko T. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, Dhanda Y. ⚽, Shankland L. (A),

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Mehdi Hüseynzadə adına Sumqayıt şəhər stadionu.

Dinamo Minsk is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hearts has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dinamo Minsk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Dinamo Minsk have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Hearts: Nieuwenhof C. (Muscle Injury) Taylor Dosman G. G. (Knee Injury)

Our prediction for today's Dinamo Minsk to win the game is with odds 2.86.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dinamo Minsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
28.09.24	Dinamo Minsk - Isloch Minsk	2:0 ✺
24.09.24	Dinamo Minsk - Minsk	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Vitebsk - Dinamo Minsk	1:0 ✺
16.09.24	Dinamo Minsk - Dnyapro Mogilev	2:0 ✺
12.09.24	Dinamo Minsk - Gomel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWW
- Heart of Midlothian
Scottish Premier League
28.09.24	Hearts - Ross County	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	St. Mirren - Hearts	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Celtic - Hearts	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Hearts - Dundee United	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.08.24	Hearts - Viktoria Plzeň	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

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