The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hebar Pazardzhik 15.5%
Draw 25.9%
Arda Kardzhali 58.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.5%
29.9%
44.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.4%
29.8%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hebar Pazardzhik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hebar Pazardzhik's form might have worsened.
Arda Kardzhali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arda Kardzhali's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hebar Pazardzhik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arda Kardzhali, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.8%
5.9%
82.4%
Hebar Pazardzhik - Arda Kardzhali Predictions
Users Predictions:
Arda Kardzhali will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
97. Rosa M. (G) 18. Terziev R. 55. Mihaylov M. (C) 88. Ntoya J. 29. Diamanka C. 15. Fonkeu W. 14. Angelov Y. 21. Penchev B. 44. Nikolaev N. 10. Kabov A. 70. Makni N.
1. Gospodinov A. (C) 2. Gustavo Cascardo 93. Eboa F. 23. Viyachki E. 35. Velkovski D. 80. Kotev L. 10. Tsonev B. 99. Ivanov S. 19. Yordanov T. 33. Tilev I. 9. Offor C.
Substitutes
20. Brtan M. 1. Debarliev P. (G) 77. Hamdiev O. 9. Krastev K. 23. Pehlivanov K. 98. Tartov G. 84. Tisovski S. 4. Velchev K. 7. Zbun O.
8. Aksaka B. 17. Budinov I. 18. Huseynov C. 44. Idowu D. 30. Kazakov I. 13. Petrov P. (G) 7. Statev S. 4. Stoev M. 11. Tyutyukov B.
Coaches
Akrapovic B.
Tunchev A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Kotev L. 🟨,
18', Terziev R. 🟨,
40', Makni N. 🟨,
40', Viyachki E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Angelov Y. ↓, Velchev K. ↑,
53', Tsonev B. 🟨,
60', 0 - 1, Tsonev B. ⚽, Gustavo Cascardo (A),
63', 0 - 2, Tilev I. ⚽,
69', Tilev I. 🟨,
71', Terziev R. ↓, Tartov G. ↑,
73', Tartov G. 🟨,
77', Fonkeu W. ↓, Tisovski S. ↑,
81', Gustavo Cascardo ↓, Budinov I. ↑,
81', Tilev I. ↓, Statev S. ↑,
82', Tsonev B. ↓, Idowu D. ↑,
84', Kabov A. ↓, Zbun O. ↑,
84', Diamanka C. ↓, Krastev K. ↑,
86', Penchev B. 🟨,
88', Kotev L. ↓, Huseynov C. ↑,
89', Yordanov T. ↓, Kazakov I. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga (Conference League Group: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hebar won 2.
Hebar has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Arda is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Arda is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Hebar won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.6:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Hebar won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.5:0.8).