Match Info

efbet League - Round 17

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Lokomotiv (Sofia)

Referee: Velikov M. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Slovenia	SportKlub 2


	Lokomotiv Sofia		Arda Kardzhali

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.82	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.82
	2.46	3.25	2.98
	2.51	3.08	2.88	Watch
	2.48	3.17	2.85	Watch
	2.4	3.33	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.44)	3.19 ↑ (3.03)	2.88 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Sofia
38.2%

Draw
29.3%

Arda Kardzhali
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

30.2%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

29.6%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Arda Kardzhali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Lokomotiv Sofia aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Lokomotiv Sofia - Arda Kardzhali Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Arda will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia (votes: 1 - 20%). Arda (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Lokomotiv Sofia (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Arda (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Velichkov M. (G) 4. Dembele S. 20. Messi 91. Bidounga R. 0. Ali D. 31. Stanoev K. (C) 22. Daskalov R. 5. Dost E. 14. Lyaskov A. 7. Delev S. 77. Caue Caruzo	1. Gospodinov A. (C) 2. Gustavo Cascardo 23. Viyachki E. 18. Huseynov C. 21. Velev V. 20. Yusein S. 80. Kotev L. 99. Karagaren B. 71. Popov I. 11. Shinyashiki A. 17. Patrick Luan
Substitutes
28. Acka D. 21. Chachev K. 13. Diego Raposo 15. Ivanov L. 8. Luann 24. Lyubenov A. (G) 26. Miloshev K. 10. Minchev G. 58. Octavio	93. Eboa F. 8. Kabov A. 30. Kazakov I. 10. Kovachev S. 6. Krachunov P. 12. Nedelchev I. (G) 33. Tilev I. 35. Velkovski D. 39. Vutov A.
Coaches
Genchev S.	Tunchev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Lyaskov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Karagaren B. ↓, Kovachev S. ↑,
61', Stanoev K. ↓, Minchev G. ↑,
61', Caue Caruzo ↓, Diego Raposo ↑,
63', Daskalov R. 🟨,
67', Popov I. ↓, Vutov A. ↑,
76', Kovachev S. 🟨,
82', Dembele S. 🟨,
88', Yusein S. ↓, Tilev I. ↑,
88', Patrick Luan ↓, Eboa F. ↑,
88', Dost E. ↓, Luann ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 0.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 0.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Sofia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
22.11.25	Cherno More Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Vratsa	0:1 ✺
03.11.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:3 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
28.10.25	Rilski Sportist - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:3 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
24.10.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WLWWT
- Arda Kardzhali
Bulgarian Parva Liga
22.11.25	Arda Kardzhali - CSKA 1948 Sofia	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Arda Kardzhali	2:3 ✺
02.11.25	Arda Kardzhali - Levski Sofia	0:3 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
28.10.25	Fratria - Arda Kardzhali	1:2 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
24.10.25	Montana - Arda Kardzhali	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
27.07.25	Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:1
13.04.25	Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv Sofia	5:0
02.11.24	Lokomotiv Sofia - Arda Kardzhali	0:2
09.12.23	Lokomotiv Sofia - Arda Kardzhali	0:1
11.08.23	Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:0
Club Friendly
01.07.23	Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:4
Bulgarian Parva Liga
29.05.23	Lokomotiv Sofia - Arda Kardzhali	1:3

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