The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Krumovgrad 21.2%
Draw 33.2%
Arda Kardzhali 45.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.4%
31.8%
38.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.2%
30.5%
40.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krumovgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Krumovgrad's form might have worsened.
Arda Kardzhali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arda Kardzhali's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krumovgrad than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Krumovgrad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arda Kardzhali, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Krumovgrad - Arda Kardzhali Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Arda will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Arda: 45% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Makendzhiev B. (C) 2. Ali D. 18. Daniel 22. Dost E. 99. Guermouche Y. 24. Marin L. 19. Milev N. 25. Rabotov S. 5. Simic M. 7. Tsvetanov M. 77. Yusein O.
1. Gospodinov A. (C) 8. Aksaka B. 93. Eboa F. 2. Gustavo Cascardo 99. Ivanov S. 80. Kotev L. 9. Offor C. 33. Tilev I. 35. Velkovski D. 23. Viyachki E. 19. Yordanov T.
Substitutes
8. Danailov N. 1. Georgiev Y. (G) 11. Palazov D. 12. Prandzhev N. (G) 9. Rafael Furtado 88. Vatansever S.
26. Akandzh B. 17. Budinov I. 18. Huseynov C. 70. Idowu D. 30. Kazakov I. 7. Statev S. 4. Stoev M. 11. Tyutyukov B. 92. Yusuf M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Ali D. 🟨,
43', Velkovski D. 🟨,
44', Dost E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Gustavo Cascardo 🟨,
54', 0 - 1, Offor C. (Pen),
71', Aksaka B. ↓, Idowu D. ↑,
72', Guermouche Y. ↓, Rafael Furtado ↑,
76', 0 - 2, Kotev L. ⚽,
84', Offor C. ↓, Stoev M. ↑,
85', Simic M. 🟨,
87', Gustavo Cascardo 🟨,
88', Ivanov S. ↓, Budinov I. ↑,
Preview
Recent matches Krumovgrad is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Arda is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Arda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Arda is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Krumovgrad won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.5:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Krumovgrad won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Bulgaria
Croatia
North-macedonia
Slovenia
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Makendzhiev B. (C) 
Daniel 
Guermouche Y. 
Simic M. 
Aksaka B. 
Eboa F. 
Offor C. 
Huseynov C. 
