Match Info

BULGARIA: Parva liga - Round 1

Date: 22 July 2024, Monday

Location: Stadion Georgi Benkovski (Pazardzhik)

Referee: Guteva H. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 3
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO


	Hebar Pazardzhik		Spartak Varna

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3	3	2.25
	3.1	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.25	3.15	2.38
	3.07	3.18	2.35	Watch
	3	3.1	2.2
	3.15	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3.2	2.95	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (1.89)	3.1 ↓ (3.45)	2.28 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hebar Pazardzhik
29.6%

Draw
29.9%

Spartak Varna
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

26.9%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hebar Pazardzhik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hebar Pazardzhik's form might have worsened.

Spartak Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spartak Varna's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	18.7%	50%

Hebar Pazardzhik - Spartak Varna Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Hebar will win (votes: 10 - 31.3%). Spartak Varna will win (votes: 16 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spartak Varna: 32.7% – 67.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Debarliev P. (C) 44. Nikolaev N. 18. Terziev R. 55. Mihaylov M. 98. Tartov G. 21. Penchev B. 10. Kabov A. 15. Fonkeu W. 7. Zbun O. 29. Diamanka C. 70. Makni N.	76. Velichkov M. (G) 88. Dimitrov R. 4. Prce F. 44. Granchov A. 16. Ilic C. 6. Tsvetkov A. 5. Baurenski Y. 8. Lesniak F. 14. Ivey R. 29. Ahmedov A. 11. Mitev V. (C)
Substitutes
8. Andonov K. 2. Dishkov I. 24. El Fattahi E. 77. Hamdiev O. 11. Krastev K. 20. Pehlivanov K. 97. Rosa M. (G) 19. Staykov G. 99. Yankov M. (G)	7. Berna 99. Halachev D. 3. Juric-Petrasilo M. 77. Marinov L. 89. Videnov N. (G) 39. Vutov A. 22. Yanchev A.
Coaches
Velikov V.	Tomash A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Nikolaev N. 🟥,
20', Diamanka C. ↓, El Fattahi E. ↑,
45+2', 0 - 1, Ahmedov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Zbun O. (Pen),
58', Ilic C. ↓, Vutov A. ↑,
58', Penchev B. ↓, Krastev K. ↑,
60', Tsvetkov A. 🟨,
68', El Fattahi E. 🟨,
68', Tartov G. ↓, Hamdiev O. ↑,
75', Vutov A. 🟨,
77', Mitev V. ↓, Juric-Petrasilo M. ↑,
78', Terziev R. 🟨,
81', Kabov A. 🟨,
81', Ivey R. 🟨,
85', Dimitrov R. 🟨,
87', Ivey R. ↓, Halachev D. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 2, Vutov A. ⚽, Ahmedov A. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hebar won 2.

Spartak Varna could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Hebar won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Hebar won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hebar Pazardzhik
Club Friendly
11.07.24	Videoton - Hebar Pazardzhik	5:2 ✺
06.07.24	Gorica - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:0 ✺
30.06.24	Hebar Pazardzhik - Paksi SE	1:6 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.05.24	Hebar Pazardzhik - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	3:1 ✺
21.05.24	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Hebar Pazardzhik	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLWT
- Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
18.05.24	Ludogorets II - Spartak Varna	1:4 ✺
11.05.24	Spartak Varna - Lovech	2:1 ✺
02.05.24	Chernomorets Balchik - Spartak Varna	4:1 ✺
27.04.24	Spartak Varna - Montana	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Strumska Slava Radomir - Spartak Varna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
22.05.23	Spartak Varna - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:1
20.02.23	Hebar Pazardzhik - Spartak Varna	0:0
05.08.22	Spartak Varna - Hebar Pazardzhik	0:1
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
06.04.22	Hebar Pazardzhik - Spartak Varna	2:1
26.09.21	Spartak Varna - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:0
16.02.20	Hebar Pazardzhik - Spartak Varna	3:0
27.07.19	Spartak Varna - Hebar Pazardzhik	0:2

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